CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botosani Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

CFR 1907 Cluj
Final Score
3 – 1
(HT 2-0)
FC Botosani
Kick-off 14:30 Stadium Dr. Constantin Rădulescu

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

CFR 1907 Cluj opened at -0.25 against FC Botosani in the Liga I. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.48
CFR 1907 Cluj -0.48

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.91 / 1.40
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
CFR 1907 Cluj -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward CFR 1907 Cluj than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
FC Botosani +0.25
@ 3.10
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.26
Price Advantage
+37.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
-0.25
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:53
Opening
-0.25
14:15
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
14:32
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.69 / 2.81 -0.25 1.79 / 2.65 -0.25 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.75 / 2.97 -0.25 1.88 / 2.91 -0.25 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.82 / 2.75 -0.25 1.72 / 3.10 -0.25 0
1xBet -0.25 1.73 / 2.81 -0.25 1.83 / 2.65 -0.25 0
Betano -0.25 1.75 / 3.00 -0.25 1.82 / 2.92 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.73 / 2.82 -0.25 1.79 / 2.70 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.00 8.80
-1.50 3.88 6.65
-1.25 3.50 6.15
-1.00 3.08 5.70
-0.75 2.38 3.85
-0.25 1.83 2.65
0 1.55 2.31
+0.25 1.38 1.88
+0.75 1.18 1.46
+1.00 1.08 1.28
+1.25 1.06 1.22
+1.50 1.05 1.18

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.55 6.25
-1.25 3.30 5.90
-1.00 2.85 6.80
-0.75 2.30 4.40
-0.50 2.25 3.45
-0.25 1.72 3.10
0 1.48 2.60
+0.25 1.35 2.08
+0.50 1.30 1.62
+0.75 1.20 1.60
+1.00 1.10 1.40
+1.25 1.13 1.32
+1.50 1.12 1.27

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.79 2.70
0 1.52 2.31
+0.25 1.39 1.88

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.10 3.35
-0.25 1.82 2.92
+0.25 1.44 2.02
+0.50 1.35 1.78

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.00 8.80
-1.50 3.88 6.65
-1.25 3.50 6.15
-1.00 3.08 5.70
-0.75 2.38 3.85
-0.25 1.79 2.65
0 1.55 2.31
+0.25 1.38 1.84
+0.75 1.18 1.46
+1.00 1.08 1.28
+1.25 1.06 1.22
+1.50 1.05 1.18

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.55 4.28
-0.50 2.17 3.34
-0.25 1.88 2.91
0 1.57 2.45
+0.25 1.43 1.97
+0.50 1.34 1.72
+0.75 1.23 1.53
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
More