Pardubice U19 vs Baník Ostrava U19 Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Pardubice U19
Final Score
0 – 4
(HT 0-1)
Baník Ostrava U19
Kick-off 10:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Pardubice U19 opened at 0 against Baník Ostrava U19 in the 1. Liga U19. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.33 / 1.27
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Pardubice U19 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 3 / 3 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.05
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.05 AH points more toward Pardubice U19 than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Pardubice U19 0
@ 2.03
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.05
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.93
Price Advantage
+5.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
16:46
Opening
0
09:10
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.94 / 1.73 0 1.98 / 1.70 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.26 / 1.94 0 2.03 / 1.71 — +0.25
1xBet 0 1.94 / 1.73 0 1.98 / 1.70 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 6.85
-1.50 4.80 3.85
-1.00 4.00 3.14
-0.75 3.04 2.49
-0.25 2.26 1.91
0 1.98 1.70
+0.25 1.72 1.54
+0.75 1.42 1.29
+1.00 1.27 1.17
+1.50 1.18 1.12

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 6.85
-1.50 4.80 3.85
-1.00 4.00 3.14
-0.75 3.04 2.49
-0.25 2.24 1.91
0 1.98 1.70
+0.25 1.72 1.52
+0.75 1.42 1.29
+1.00 1.27 1.17
+1.50 1.18 1.12

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.54 2.17
-0.25 2.28 1.96
0 2.03 1.71
+0.25 1.79 1.54
+0.50 1.62 1.44
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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