Wolves vs Blackburn Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Wolves
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 1-1)
Blackburn
Kick-off 19:00 Stadium Molineux Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Wolves opened at -0.50 against Blackburn in the Championship. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.19
Wolves -0.19

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.34 / 1.13
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
—
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.50 · 3 / 8 books · Weak
Model–Market Gap
—
No valid tradable market line
3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No tradable main line at the time of the decision.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
—
No bookmaker currently offers a valid two-way pricing main.

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.50 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:15
Opening
-0.50
00:15
Last Pre-Match
-0.50
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK +0.75
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK +0.75 1.03 / 2.18 +0.75 1.03 / 2.18 — 0
Betfair DEEP +1.50 1.02 / 1.50 +1.50 1.02 / 1.50 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.19 / 4.85 0 1.19 / 4.85 — 0
Bet365 -0.50 1.52 / 5.90 -0.50 1.52 / 5.90 — 0
1xBet +0.75 1.03 / 2.18 +0.75 1.03 / 2.18 — 0
Unibet -0.50 1.50 / 4.90 -0.50 1.50 / 4.90 — 0
Superbet -0.50 1.50 / 5.15 -0.50 1.50 / 5.15 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.29 / 5.30 -0.25 1.29 / 5.30 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main —

AH Home Away
-0.75 1.58 7.40
-0.25 1.29 5.00
0 1.14 4.50
+0.25 1.10 3.02
+0.75 1.03 2.18

Bet365 Main —

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.52 5.90
-0.25 1.35 5.50
0 1.18 4.65
+0.25 1.15 3.10
+0.50 1.13 2.42

BetVictor Main —

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.29 5.30
0 1.14 4.70
+0.25 1.11 3.15

Betfair Main —

AH Home Away
-1.50 2.50 12.00
+1.50 1.02 1.50

Marathonbet Main —

AH Home Away
-0.75 1.58 7.40
-0.25 1.30 5.00
0 1.14 4.50
+0.25 1.10 3.04
+0.75 1.03 2.18

Pinnacle Main —

AH Home Away
0 1.19 4.85

Superbet Main —

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.50 5.15
+0.50 1.13 2.42

Unibet Main —

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.50 4.90
+0.50 1.13 2.35
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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