WSG Wattens vs Ried Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

WSG Wattens
Oct 10, 2026 - 15:00
1.52 1.43
Ried
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

WSG Wattens opened at 0 against Ried in the Bundesliga. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.08
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
WSG Wattens 0
Model–Market Gap
0.08
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.08 AH points more toward WSG Wattens than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
WSG Wattens 0
@ 2.01
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.08
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.90
Price Advantage
+5.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.93 / 1.80 0 1.93 / 1.80 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.02 / 1.84 0 2.01 / 1.85 — 0
Bet365 0 1.92 / 1.88 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.93 / 1.80 0 1.93 / 1.80 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.67 / 1.62 +0.25 1.67 / 1.62 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.89 / 1.79 0 1.91 / 1.77 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.08
xG 1.52 / 1.43 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.01
WSG Wattens @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.90
WSG Wattens @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.01 vs 1.90
Market price is 5.8% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.00 8.60
-2.00 8.80 7.90
-1.75 6.05 5.50
-1.50 4.75 4.33
-1.25 4.39 3.96
-1.00 3.98 3.58
-0.75 2.93 2.71
-0.25 2.22 2.03
0 1.93 1.80
+0.25 1.65 1.60
+0.75 1.36 1.31
+1.00 1.21 1.17
+1.25 1.17 1.14
+1.50 1.14 1.12
+1.75 1.08 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.60 6.00
-1.50 5.00 4.50
-1.25 4.50 4.15
-1.00 4.15 3.80
-0.75 3.10 2.85
-0.50 2.60 2.38
-0.25 2.30 2.10
0 1.98 1.82
+0.25 1.70 1.60
+0.50 1.55 1.48
+0.75 1.40 1.35
+1.00 1.25 1.22
+1.25 1.22 1.19
+1.50 1.19 1.17
+1.75 1.12 1.11

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.53 2.34
-0.25 2.23 2.05
0 1.91 1.77
+0.25 1.66 1.56
+0.50 1.51 1.44

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.55 2.45
-0.25 2.25 2.15
+0.25 1.67 1.62
+0.50 1.53 1.50

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.80 7.90
-1.75 6.05 5.50
-1.50 4.75 4.33
-1.25 4.40 3.96
-1.00 3.98 3.58
-0.75 2.93 2.71
-0.25 2.17 2.03
0 1.93 1.80
+0.25 1.65 1.57
+0.75 1.36 1.31
+1.00 1.21 1.17
+1.25 1.17 1.14
+1.50 1.14 1.12
+1.75 1.08 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.52 3.98
-0.75 3.28 2.97
-0.50 2.68 2.47
-0.25 2.35 2.16
0 2.01 1.85
+0.25 1.72 1.62
+0.50 1.56 1.49
+0.75 1.40 1.34
+1.00 1.25 1.21
Primary Bets
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