Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Lask Linz
Oct 11, 2026 - 15:00
1.75 1.11
Rapid Vienna
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Lask Linz opened at -0.25 against Rapid Vienna in the Bundesliga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.60
Lask Linz -0.60

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Lask Linz -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.35
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.35 AH points more toward Lask Linz than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Rapid Vienna +0.25
@ 3.14
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.35
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.46
Price Advantage
+27.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.53 / 3.14 -0.25 1.53 / 3.14 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.62 / 3.10 -0.25 1.62 / 3.10 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.53 / 3.14 -0.25 1.53 / 3.14 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.60
xG 1.75 / 1.11 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.53
Lask Linz @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.68
Lask Linz @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.53 vs 1.68
Market price is 8.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 2.79 7.40
-1.00 2.29 6.55
-0.75 1.90 4.54
-0.25 1.53 3.14
0 1.33 2.81
+0.25 1.27 2.22
+0.75 1.13 1.75
+1.00 1.05 1.57
+1.50 1.03 1.34

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 2.68 6.80
-1.00 2.38 6.40
-0.75 2.05 4.40
-0.50 1.82 3.55
-0.25 1.62 3.10
0 1.42 2.75
+0.25 1.35 2.25
+0.50 1.27 1.98
+0.75 1.20 1.75
+1.00 1.12 1.55
+1.25 1.10 1.45

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 2.79 7.40
-1.00 2.29 6.55
-0.75 1.90 4.55
-0.25 1.53 3.14
0 1.33 2.81
+0.25 1.27 2.22
+0.75 1.13 1.75
+1.00 1.05 1.57
+1.50 1.03 1.34
Primary Bets
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