SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Oct 11, 2026 - 12:30
1.58 1.06
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

SCR Altach opened at -0.25 against Wolfsberger AC in the Bundesliga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.48
SCR Altach -0.48

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
SCR Altach -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward SCR Altach than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Wolfsberger AC +0.25
@ 3.10
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.30
Price Advantage
+34.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.81 / 2.54 -0.25 1.67 / 2.80 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.76 / 3.02 -0.25 1.73 / 3.10 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.85 / 2.68 -0.25 1.72 / 3.00 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.85 / 2.54 -0.25 1.70 / 2.80 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.48
xG 1.58 / 1.06 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.73
SCR Altach @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.77
SCR Altach @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.73 vs 1.77
Market price is 2.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.10 8.40
-1.50 3.28 6.50
-1.25 2.92 6.10
-1.00 2.59 5.70
-0.75 2.14 3.97
-0.25 1.70 2.80
0 1.47 2.54
+0.25 1.35 2.05
+0.75 1.17 1.57
+1.00 1.08 1.39
+1.25 1.06 1.31
+1.50 1.05 1.25

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.45 7.00
-1.25 3.10 6.80
-1.00 2.75 6.25
-0.75 2.30 4.25
-0.50 2.00 3.45
-0.25 1.72 3.00
0 1.48 2.60
+0.25 1.38 2.08
+0.50 1.30 1.80
+0.75 1.21 1.60
+1.00 1.12 1.42
+1.25 1.10 1.35
+1.50 1.10 1.30

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.10 8.40
-1.50 3.28 6.50
-1.25 2.92 6.10
-1.00 2.59 5.70
-0.75 2.14 3.98
-0.25 1.67 2.80
0 1.47 2.54
+0.25 1.35 2.01
+0.75 1.17 1.57
+1.00 1.08 1.39
+1.25 1.06 1.31
+1.50 1.05 1.25

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.98 3.51
-0.25 1.73 3.10
0 1.49 2.69
+0.25 1.38 2.15
+0.50 1.31 1.87