Sokół Kleczew vs Hutnik Kraków Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sokół Kleczew
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:30
1.17 1.43
Hutnik Kraków
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sokół Kleczew opened at -0.25 against Hutnik Kraków in the II Liga - East. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.23
Sokół Kleczew +0.23

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Sokół Kleczew -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.48
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.48 AH points more toward Hutnik Kraków than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Hutnik Kraków +0.25
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.48
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.55
Price Advantage
+27.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.28 / 1.91 -0.25 2.30 / 1.90 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.40 / 1.98 -0.25 2.40 / 1.98 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 2.10 / 1.70 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.30 / 1.91 -0.25 2.33 / 1.90 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.08 / 1.73 -0.25 2.08 / 1.73 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.23
xG 1.17 / 1.43 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.40
Sokół Kleczew @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.82
Sokół Kleczew @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.40 vs 2.82
Market price is 14.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.50 7.70
-2.00 9.00 7.00
-1.75 6.50 4.95
-1.50 5.10 3.92
-1.25 4.70 3.58
-1.00 4.30 3.20
-0.75 3.14 2.52
-0.25 2.33 1.90
0 2.03 1.67
+0.25 1.73 1.51
+0.75 1.41 1.27
+1.00 1.26 1.14
+1.25 1.21 1.12
+1.50 1.18 1.10
+1.75 1.11 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.00 5.00
-1.50 5.50 3.90
-1.25 4.80 3.55
-1.00 4.40 3.30
-0.75 3.30 2.50
-0.50 2.75 2.20
-0.25 2.42 1.98
0 2.10 1.70
+0.25 1.82 1.52
+0.50 1.65 1.42
+0.75 1.50 1.32
+1.00 1.32 1.20
+1.25 1.27 1.18
+1.50 1.24 1.15
+1.75 1.17 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.08 1.73
0 1.84 1.52
+0.25 1.61 1.39

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 7.00
-1.75 6.50 4.95
-1.50 5.10 3.92
-1.25 4.70 3.58
-1.00 4.30 3.20
-0.75 3.14 2.52
-0.25 2.30 1.90
0 2.03 1.67
+0.25 1.73 1.49
+0.75 1.41 1.27
+1.00 1.26 1.14
+1.25 1.21 1.12
+1.50 1.18 1.10
+1.75 1.11 1.05

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.71 2.23
-0.25 2.40 1.98
0 2.10 1.69
+0.25 1.81 1.52
+0.50 1.62 1.42
Primary Bets
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