Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Chojniczanka Chojnice
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 2-1)
Podhale Nowy Targ
Kick-off 16:00 Stadium Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Chojniczanka Chojnice opened at 0 against Podhale Nowy Targ in the II Liga - East. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.34 / 1.26
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Chojniczanka Chojnice 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Chojniczanka Chojnice 0
@ 2.02
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.07
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.90
Price Advantage
+6.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:30
Opening
0
13:23
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.90 / 1.76 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.74 / 2.04 0 2.02 / 1.78 — 0
Bet365 0 1.82 / 1.98 0 1.88 / 1.92 — 0
1xBet 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.90 / 1.76 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.91 / 1.88 -0.25 1.98 / 1.80 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.70 8.70
-2.00 9.10 8.00
-1.75 6.24 5.50
-1.50 4.85 4.33
-1.25 4.46 3.95
-1.00 4.10 3.58
-0.75 3.04 2.74
-0.25 2.21 2.02
0 1.90 1.76
+0.25 1.64 1.56
+0.75 1.35 1.29
+1.00 1.21 1.16
+1.25 1.17 1.14
+1.50 1.14 1.11
+1.75 1.08 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 5.50
-1.50 4.80 4.25
-1.25 4.40 3.90
-1.00 4.00 3.55
-0.75 3.10 2.75
-0.50 2.60 2.35
-0.25 2.30 2.08
0 1.88 1.92
+0.25 1.72 1.60
+0.50 1.58 1.48
+0.75 1.42 1.35
+1.00 1.27 1.23
+1.25 1.24 1.20
+1.50 1.21 1.18
+1.75 1.15 1.12

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.18 2.00
-0.25 1.98 1.80
0 1.75 1.59
+0.25 1.55 1.44
+0.50 1.43 1.35

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.70 8.70
-2.00 9.10 8.00
-1.75 6.25 5.50
-1.50 4.85 4.33
-1.25 4.45 3.95
-1.00 4.10 3.58
-0.75 3.04 2.74
-0.25 2.19 2.02
0 1.90 1.76
+0.25 1.64 1.54
+0.75 1.35 1.29
+1.00 1.21 1.16
+1.25 1.17 1.14
+1.50 1.14 1.11
+1.75 1.08 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.11 2.75
-0.50 2.62 2.32
-0.25 2.33 2.06
0 2.02 1.78
+0.25 1.72 1.57
+0.50 1.56 1.44
+0.75 1.41 1.33
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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