Świt Skolwin vs Tychy 71 Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Świt Skolwin
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 1-1)
Tychy 71
Kick-off 12:30 Stadium Stadion Miejski Skolwin

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Świt Skolwin opened at -0.25 against Tychy 71 in the II Liga - East. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 2 of 3 valid books, with 67% agreement.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.29 / 1.31
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Świt Skolwin -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 2 / 3 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.27
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.27 AH points more toward Tychy 71 than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Świt Skolwin -0.25
@ 2.87
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.27
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.39
Price Advantage
+20.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
2 / 3 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
01:19
Opening
-0.25
09:29
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.83 / 1.67 -0.25 2.83 / 1.67 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.87 / 1.67 -0.25 2.87 / 1.67 — 0
Superbet -0.50 3.20 / 1.87 -0.50 3.20 / 1.87 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.10 3.48
-1.25 6.64 3.08
-1.00 6.15 2.74
-0.75 4.10 2.17
-0.25 2.87 1.67
0 2.47 1.46
+0.25 1.98 1.35
+0.75 1.55 1.16
+1.00 1.35 1.06
+1.25 1.28 1.05
+1.50 1.22 1.04

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.80 4.40
-1.50 7.10 3.48
-1.25 6.65 3.08
-1.00 6.15 2.74
-0.75 4.10 2.17
-0.25 2.83 1.67
0 2.47 1.46
+0.25 1.98 1.33
+0.75 1.55 1.16
+1.00 1.35 1.06
+1.25 1.28 1.05
+1.50 1.22 1.04

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.20 1.87
+0.50 1.73 1.26
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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