Paks vs Gyori ETO FC Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Paks
Oct 17, 2026 - 15:00
1.42 1.60
Gyori ETO FC
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Paks opened at -0.25 against Gyori ETO FC in the NB I. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Paks +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Paks -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.41
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.41 AH points more toward Gyori ETO FC than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Gyori ETO FC +0.25
@ 2.94
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.41
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.63
Price Advantage
+80.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.62 / 2.78 -0.25 1.62 / 2.78 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.70 / 2.94 -0.25 1.70 / 2.94 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.62 / 2.78 -0.25 1.62 / 2.78 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.42 / 1.60 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.70
Paks @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.59
Paks @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.70 vs 2.59
Market price is 34.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 2.97 6.20
-1.25 2.73 5.79
-1.00 2.41 5.35
-0.75 2.03 3.84
-0.25 1.62 2.78
0 1.43 2.46
+0.25 1.34 2.05
+0.75 1.18 1.63
+1.00 1.09 1.47
+1.25 1.07 1.37
+1.50 1.06 1.30

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 2.97 6.20
-1.25 2.70 5.80
-1.00 2.41 5.35
-0.75 2.03 3.85
-0.25 1.62 2.78
0 1.43 2.46
+0.25 1.34 2.05
+0.75 1.18 1.63
+1.00 1.09 1.47
+1.25 1.07 1.36
+1.50 1.06 1.30

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.93 3.29
-0.25 1.70 2.94
0 1.49 2.59
+0.25 1.38 2.13
+0.50 1.32 1.88
Primary Bets
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