Nyiregyhaza vs Budapest Honved Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Nyiregyhaza
Oct 17, 2026 - 12:30
1.56 1.46
Budapest Honved
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Nyiregyhaza opened at -0.25 against Budapest Honved in the NB I. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Nyiregyhaza -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Budapest Honved than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Budapest Honved +0.25
@ 2.94
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.84
Price Advantage
+59.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.65 / 2.83 -0.25 1.71 / 2.70 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.77 / 2.94 -0.25 1.77 / 2.94 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.78 / 2.85 -0.25 1.78 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.65 / 2.83 -0.25 1.71 / 2.70 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
xG 1.56 / 1.46 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.77
Nyiregyhaza @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.19
Nyiregyhaza @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.77 vs 2.19
Market price is 19.2% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.50 6.65
-1.25 3.17 6.20
-1.00 2.83 5.75
-0.75 2.24 3.92
-0.25 1.71 2.70
0 1.47 2.35
+0.25 1.36 1.92
+0.75 1.18 1.52
+1.00 1.07 1.35
+1.25 1.06 1.28
+1.50 1.05 1.22

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.55 7.00
-1.25 3.30 6.40
-1.00 2.85 6.00
-0.75 2.30 4.10
-0.50 2.02 3.30
-0.25 1.78 2.85
0 1.52 2.42
+0.25 1.40 2.02
+0.50 1.32 1.78
+0.75 1.23 1.60
+1.00 1.12 1.40
+1.25 1.12 1.32
+1.50 1.10 1.27

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.50 6.65
-1.25 3.14 6.20
-1.00 2.83 5.75
-0.75 2.24 3.92
-0.25 1.71 2.70
0 1.47 2.35
+0.25 1.36 1.92
+0.75 1.18 1.52
+1.00 1.07 1.35
+1.25 1.06 1.27
+1.50 1.05 1.22

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.04 3.35
-0.25 1.77 2.94
0 1.51 2.53
+0.25 1.38 2.04
+0.50 1.31 1.78
Primary Bets
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