Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Zalaegerszegi TE
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:45
1.36 1.24
Nyiregyhaza
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Zalaegerszegi TE opened at 0 against Nyiregyhaza in the NB I. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Zalaegerszegi TE 0
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward Zalaegerszegi TE than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Zalaegerszegi TE 0
@ 2.00
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.11
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.86
Price Advantage
+7.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.98 / 1.70 0 1.90 / 1.76 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.05 / 1.77 0 1.94 / 1.88 — 0
Bet365 0 2.02 / 1.78 0 2.00 / 1.80 — 0
1xBet 0 1.98 / 1.70 0 1.90 / 1.76 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.40 / 2.05 -0.25 2.40 / 2.05 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
xG 1.36 / 1.24 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.94
Zalaegerszegi TE @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.86
Zalaegerszegi TE @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.94 vs 1.86
Market price is 4.3% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.10 9.10
-2.00 8.50 8.50
-1.75 6.44 5.80
-1.50 5.00 4.55
-1.25 4.64 4.15
-1.00 4.20 3.74
-0.75 3.05 2.78
-0.25 2.23 2.03
0 1.90 1.76
+0.25 1.63 1.55
+0.75 1.34 1.28
+1.00 1.19 1.15
+1.25 1.16 1.12
+1.50 1.13 1.10
+1.75 1.07 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.00 6.00
-1.50 5.50 4.50
-1.25 5.00 4.15
-1.00 4.40 3.70
-0.75 3.30 2.75
-0.50 2.68 2.35
-0.25 2.35 2.08
0 2.00 1.80
+0.25 1.72 1.58
+0.50 1.58 1.45
+0.75 1.42 1.32
+1.00 1.26 1.20
+1.25 1.22 1.17
+1.50 1.19 1.15
+1.75 1.12 1.10

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.62 2.40
-0.25 2.40 2.05
+0.25 1.75 1.55
+0.50 1.55 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.10 9.10
-2.00 8.50 8.50
-1.75 6.45 5.80
-1.50 5.00 4.55
-1.25 4.65 4.15
-1.00 4.20 3.74
-0.75 3.05 2.78
-0.25 2.21 2.03
0 1.90 1.76
+0.25 1.63 1.53
+0.75 1.34 1.28
+1.00 1.19 1.15
+1.25 1.16 1.12
+1.50 1.13 1.10
+1.75 1.07 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.52 4.17
-0.75 3.23 3.08
-0.50 2.64 2.55
-0.25 2.29 2.21
0 1.94 1.88
+0.25 1.67 1.62
+0.50 1.51 1.48
+0.75 1.36 1.33
+1.00 1.22 1.20
Primary Bets
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