Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Bohemians 1905
Oct 10, 2026 - 16:00
1.76 1.44
Baník Ostrava
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 6 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Bohemians 1905 opened at -0.25 against Baník Ostrava in the Czech Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.29
Bohemians 1905 -0.29

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Bohemians 1905 -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Bohemians 1905 than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Baník Ostrava +0.25
@ 2.67
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.05
Price Advantage
+30.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.82 / 2.49 -0.25 1.89 / 2.38 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.90 / 2.66 0 1.71 / 2.14 — +0.25
Bet365 -0.25 1.85 / 2.75 -0.25 1.95 / 2.60 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.86 / 2.49 -0.25 1.93 / 2.38 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.50 / 1.91 +0.25 1.50 / 1.91 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.83 / 2.59 -0.25 1.90 / 2.46 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.29
xG 1.76 / 1.44 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.89
Bohemians 1905 @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.95
Bohemians 1905 @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.89 vs 1.95
Market price is 3.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.15 7.10
-1.50 4.05 5.45
-1.25 3.68 5.05
-1.00 3.28 4.65
-0.75 2.52 3.28
-0.25 1.93 2.38
0 1.66 2.10
+0.25 1.47 1.78
+0.75 1.25 1.41
+1.00 1.12 1.25
+1.25 1.10 1.20
+1.50 1.08 1.17
+1.75 1.04 1.10

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.25 6.00
-1.25 3.80 5.75
-1.00 3.45 5.25
-0.75 2.68 3.55
-0.50 2.25 3.00
-0.25 1.95 2.60
0 1.65 2.20
+0.25 1.48 1.85
+0.50 1.38 1.62
+0.75 1.27 1.45
+1.00 1.16 1.30
+1.25 1.14 1.25
+1.50 1.12 1.21

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.90 2.46
0 1.63 2.10
+0.25 1.46 1.77

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.27 2.92
-0.25 1.93 2.67
+0.25 1.50 1.91
+0.50 1.44 1.67

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.15 7.10
-1.50 4.05 5.45
-1.25 3.68 5.05
-1.00 3.28 4.65
-0.75 2.52 3.28
-0.25 1.89 2.38
0 1.66 2.10
+0.25 1.47 1.75
+0.75 1.25 1.41
+1.00 1.12 1.25
+1.25 1.10 1.20
+1.50 1.08 1.17
+1.75 1.04 1.10

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.76 3.56
-0.50 2.31 2.85
-0.25 2.02 2.50
0 1.71 2.14
+0.25 1.53 1.81
+0.50 1.42 1.62
+0.75 1.29 1.45
Primary Bets
More