Slavia Praha II vs Vlašim Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Slavia Praha II
Oct 09, 2026 - 15:00
1.24 1.36
Vlašim
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Slavia Praha II opened at -0.25 against Vlašim in the FNL. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Slavia Praha II -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.36
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.36 AH points more toward Vlašim than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Vlašim +0.25
@ 2.57
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.36
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.64
Price Advantage
+56.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.80 / 2.43 -0.25 1.85 / 2.38 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.93 / 2.45 -0.25 1.94 / 2.46 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.90 / 2.60 -0.25 1.95 / 2.50 — 0
1xBet 0 1.63 / 2.09 -0.25 1.87 / 2.38 — -0.25
Betano -0.25 1.85 / 2.57 -0.25 1.85 / 2.57 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.63 / 2.10 0 1.63 / 2.10 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
xG 1.24 / 1.36 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.94
Slavia Praha II @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.55
Slavia Praha II @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.94 vs 2.55
Market price is 23.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 6.95 10.50
-2.00 6.30 9.20
-1.75 4.60 6.44
-1.50 3.68 5.10
-1.25 3.34 4.74
-1.00 3.04 4.40
-0.75 2.43 3.20
-0.25 1.87 2.38
0 1.63 2.08
+0.25 1.46 1.79
+0.75 1.26 1.44
+1.00 1.14 1.29
+1.25 1.12 1.24
+1.50 1.10 1.20
+1.75 1.05 1.13

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.80 7.00
-1.50 3.80 5.50
-1.25 3.45 5.00
-1.00 3.10 4.50
-0.75 2.50 3.45
-0.50 2.20 2.85
-0.25 1.95 2.50
0 1.65 2.20
+0.25 1.50 1.85
+0.50 1.40 1.65
+0.75 1.30 1.50
+1.00 1.19 1.35
+1.25 1.17 1.30
+1.50 1.15 1.25
+1.75 1.10 1.18

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.63 2.10

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.85 2.57
+0.25 1.47 1.90

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 6.95 9.00
-2.00 6.30 9.20
-1.75 4.60 6.45
-1.50 3.68 5.10
-1.25 3.34 4.75
-1.00 3.04 4.40
-0.75 2.43 3.20
-0.25 1.85 2.38
0 1.63 2.08
+0.25 1.46 1.77
+0.75 1.26 1.44
+1.00 1.14 1.29
+1.25 1.12 1.24
+1.50 1.10 1.20
+1.75 1.05 1.13

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.52 3.10
-0.50 2.19 2.77
-0.25 1.94 2.46
0 1.67 2.15
+0.25 1.50 1.85
+0.50 1.40 1.65
+0.75 1.33 1.48
Primary Bets
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