Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Arsenal Česká Lípa
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00
1.37 1.23
Viktoria Žižkov
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 6 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Arsenal Česká Lípa opened at 0 against Viktoria Žižkov in the FNL. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Arsenal Česká Lípa from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Arsenal Česká Lípa -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.13
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.13 AH points more toward Viktoria Žižkov than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Viktoria Žižkov +0.25
@ 2.51
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.13
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.86
Price Advantage
+34.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.75 / 1.91 -0.25 1.94 / 2.30 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.72 / 2.07 -0.25 1.93 / 2.51 — -0.25
Bet365 0 1.82 / 1.98 0 1.72 / 2.08 — 0
1xBet 0 1.75 / 1.91 -0.25 1.96 / 2.30 — -0.25
Betano -0.25 2.05 / 2.30 -0.25 2.05 / 2.30 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.68 / 2.02 0 1.68 / 2.02 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
xG 1.37 / 1.23 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.93
Arsenal Česká Lípa @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.16
Arsenal Česká Lípa @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.93 vs 2.16
Market price is 10.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.60 9.60
-2.00 7.80 8.60
-1.75 5.35 7.05
-1.50 4.20 5.25
-1.25 3.80 4.85
-1.00 3.42 4.40
-0.75 2.62 3.20
-0.25 1.96 2.30
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.49 1.72
+0.75 1.26 1.38
+1.00 1.14 1.23
+1.25 1.11 1.19
+1.50 1.09 1.15
+1.75 1.05 1.09
+2.00 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 6.40
-1.50 4.25 5.50
-1.25 3.90 5.00
-1.00 3.45 4.50
-0.75 2.68 3.45
-0.50 2.30 2.75
-0.25 1.98 2.38
0 1.72 2.08
+0.25 1.55 1.82
+0.50 1.42 1.60
+0.75 1.30 1.45
+1.00 1.19 1.30
+1.25 1.17 1.24
+1.50 1.15 1.21
+1.75 1.12 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.68 2.02

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.22 2.55
-0.25 2.05 2.30
+0.25 1.57 1.72
+0.50 1.47 1.62

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.60 9.10
-2.00 7.80 9.20
-1.75 5.35 6.80
-1.50 4.20 5.25
-1.25 3.80 4.85
-1.00 3.42 4.40
-0.75 2.62 3.20
-0.25 1.94 2.30
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.49 1.70
+0.75 1.26 1.38
+1.00 1.14 1.23
+1.25 1.11 1.19
+1.50 1.09 1.15
+1.75 1.04 1.09

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.18 2.85
-0.25 1.93 2.51
0 1.65 2.19
+0.25 1.48 1.86
+0.50 1.38 1.65
Primary Bets
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