KAA Gent II vs Seraing United Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

KAA Gent II
Oct 11, 2026 - 17:15
1.58 1.72
Seraing United
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

KAA Gent II opened at 0 against Seraing United in the Challenger Pro League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.13
KAA Gent II +0.13

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
KAA Gent II 0
Model–Market Gap
0.13
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.13 AH points more toward Seraing United than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Seraing United 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.13
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.86
Price Advantage
+6.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.80 / 1.86 0 1.83 / 1.83 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.86 / 1.94 0 1.83 / 1.97 — 0
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.80 / 1.86 0 1.83 / 1.83 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.15 / 2.15 -0.25 2.12 / 2.20 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.13
xG 1.58 / 1.72 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
KAA Gent II @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.17
KAA Gent II @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 2.17
Market price is 15.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.70 9.20
-2.00 9.20 9.10
-1.75 6.15 6.09
-1.50 4.75 4.70
-1.25 4.33 4.30
-1.00 3.90 3.86
-0.75 2.88 2.83
-0.25 2.12 2.08
0 1.83 1.83
+0.25 1.60 1.61
+0.75 1.33 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.18
+1.25 1.14 1.14
+1.50 1.12 1.12
+1.75 1.06 1.06
+2.50 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.00 6.60
-1.50 4.50 5.00
-1.25 4.15 4.50
-1.00 3.70 4.15
-0.75 2.85 3.10
-0.50 2.38 2.60
-0.25 2.10 2.30
0 1.82 1.98
+0.25 1.60 1.70
+0.50 1.48 1.55
+0.75 1.35 1.40
+1.00 1.22 1.26
+1.25 1.19 1.22
+1.50 1.17 1.19
+1.75 1.11 1.12

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.40 2.50
-0.25 2.12 2.20
+0.25 1.62 1.67
+0.50 1.50 1.53

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.30 9.10
-2.00 9.20 9.10
-1.75 6.15 6.10
-1.50 4.75 4.70
-1.25 4.33 4.30
-1.00 3.90 3.86
-0.75 2.88 2.83
-0.25 2.10 2.08
0 1.83 1.83
+0.25 1.60 1.59
+0.75 1.33 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.18
+1.25 1.15 1.14
+1.50 1.12 1.12
+1.75 1.06 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.91 4.16
-0.75 2.94 3.15
-0.50 2.45 2.63
-0.25 2.14 2.30
0 1.83 1.97
+0.25 1.61 1.69
+0.50 1.47 1.53
+0.75 1.34 1.38
+1.00 1.22 1.24
Primary Bets
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