Standard Liege vs Charleroi Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Standard Liege
Oct 11, 2026 - 11:30
1.12 1.68
Charleroi
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 6 books · 50% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
+0.25
Toward Away · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Standard Liege opened at -0.25 against Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. The current market consensus is 0. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Charleroi from the opening line. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 6 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.52
Standard Liege +0.52

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Standard Liege 0
Model–Market Gap
0.52
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.52 AH points more toward Charleroi than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Charleroi 0
@ 1.74
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.52
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.50
Price Advantage
+16.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 6 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.38 / 1.94 -0.25 2.38 / 1.94 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.15 / 1.73 0 2.15 / 1.73 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.50 / 2.00 0 2.10 / 1.70 — +0.25
1xBet 0 2.12 / 1.74 0 2.12 / 1.74 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.80 / 1.55 +0.25 1.80 / 1.55 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.41 / 1.94 -0.25 2.41 / 1.95 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.52
xG 1.12 / 1.68 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.15
Standard Liege @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.99
Standard Liege @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.15 vs 2.99
Market price is 28.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.95 5.89
-1.50 5.90 4.50
-1.25 5.40 4.05
-1.00 4.90 3.58
-0.75 3.35 2.63
-0.25 2.49 1.94
0 2.12 1.74
+0.25 1.72 1.55
+0.75 1.38 1.24
+1.00 1.21 1.11
+1.25 1.17 1.09
+1.50 1.13 1.07
+1.75 1.07 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.90 4.40
-1.25 5.50 4.00
-1.00 5.00 3.55
-0.75 3.45 2.75
-0.50 2.85 2.30
-0.25 2.42 2.02
0 2.10 1.70
+0.25 1.78 1.52
+0.50 1.60 1.40
+0.75 1.42 1.30
+1.00 1.27 1.17
+1.25 1.23 1.15
+1.50 1.20 1.13

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.41 1.95
0 2.05 1.66
+0.25 1.73 1.48

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.65 2.85
-0.50 2.92 2.37
-0.25 2.55 2.05
+0.25 1.80 1.55
+0.50 1.62 1.44
+0.75 1.45 1.30

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.00 5.90
-1.50 5.90 4.50
-1.25 5.40 4.05
-1.00 4.90 3.58
-0.75 3.35 2.63
-0.25 2.38 1.94
0 2.07 1.69
+0.25 1.72 1.48
+0.75 1.38 1.24
+1.00 1.21 1.11
+1.25 1.17 1.09
+1.50 1.13 1.07
+1.75 1.07 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.65 2.87
-0.50 2.93 2.38
-0.25 2.55 2.07
0 2.15 1.73
+0.25 1.80 1.53
+0.50 1.60 1.41
+0.75 1.43 1.29
Primary Bets
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