Nafta vs Bravo Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Nafta
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
1.15 1.45
Bravo
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Nafta opened at 0 against Bravo in the 1. SNL. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.27
Nafta +0.27

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Nafta 0
Model–Market Gap
0.27
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.27 AH points more toward Bravo than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Bravo 0
@ 1.99
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.27
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.68
Price Advantage
+18.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.82 0 1.83 / 1.82 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.81 / 1.99 0 1.81 / 1.99 — 0
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 1.85 / 1.95 — 0
1xBet 0 1.83 / 1.82 0 1.83 / 1.82 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.12 / 2.22 -0.25 2.12 / 2.22 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.80 / 1.87 0 1.80 / 1.87 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.27
xG 1.15 / 1.45 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.81
Nafta @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.47
Nafta @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.81 vs 2.47
Market price is 26.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.90 9.60
-2.00 7.90 8.60
-1.75 6.30 6.25
-1.50 4.85 4.80
-1.25 4.41 4.40
-1.00 3.98 3.92
-0.75 2.89 2.88
-0.25 2.12 2.09
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.61 1.60
+0.75 1.32 1.33
+1.00 1.18 1.17
+1.25 1.14 1.14
+1.50 1.12 1.11
+1.75 1.06 1.06
+2.00 1.02 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 6.40
-1.50 4.65 5.00
-1.25 4.25 4.50
-1.00 3.80 4.10
-0.75 3.00 3.10
-0.50 2.42 2.50
-0.25 2.15 2.25
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.62 1.68
+0.50 1.50 1.52
+0.75 1.35 1.38
+1.00 1.23 1.25
+1.25 1.19 1.21
+1.50 1.17 1.18
+1.75 1.12 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.39 2.50
-0.25 2.10 2.19
0 1.80 1.87
+0.25 1.58 1.63
+0.50 1.45 1.49

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.40 2.50
-0.25 2.12 2.22
+0.25 1.62 1.67
+0.50 1.50 1.53

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.30 6.25
-1.50 4.85 4.80
-1.25 4.40 4.40
-1.00 3.98 3.92
-0.75 2.88 2.88
-0.25 2.10 2.08
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.60 1.59
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.17
+1.25 1.14 1.14
+1.50 1.12 1.11
+1.75 1.06 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.85 4.37
-0.75 2.91 3.23
-0.50 2.43 2.67
-0.25 2.13 2.33
0 1.81 1.99
+0.25 1.59 1.70
+0.50 1.46 1.54
+0.75 1.33 1.39
+1.00 1.20 1.25
Primary Bets
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