Czechia W vs Scotland W Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Czechia W
Final Score
0 – 2
(HT 0-0)
Scotland W
Kick-off 17:00 Stadium Stadion Arnosta Kostala

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Czechia W opened at -0.25 against Scotland W in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 5 valid books, with 60% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.06 / 1.11
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Czechia W -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 3 / 5 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.29
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.29 AH points more toward Scotland W than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Scotland W +0.25
@ 2.00
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.29
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.66
Price Advantage
+20.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 5 valid books · 60% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
12:18
Opening
-0.25
16:38
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.35 / 1.90 -0.25 2.42 / 1.89 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.45 / 1.93 -0.25 2.56 / 2.00 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.37 / 1.92 -0.25 2.42 / 1.90 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.93 / 1.75 0 1.93 / 1.75 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.50 8.70
-2.00 9.10 8.00
-1.75 7.70 5.40
-1.50 5.85 4.20
-1.25 5.46 3.82
-1.00 5.00 3.34
-0.75 3.43 2.57
-0.25 2.42 1.90
0 2.08 1.63
+0.25 1.76 1.46
+0.75 1.41 1.24
+1.00 1.24 1.10
+1.25 1.19 1.09
+1.50 1.15 1.07
+1.75 1.09 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.90 1.90

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.93 1.75

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.10 8.40
-1.75 7.90 5.60
-1.50 5.95 4.33
-1.25 5.55 3.92
-1.00 5.10 3.48
-0.75 3.48 2.59
-0.25 2.42 1.89
0 2.08 1.63
+0.25 1.74 1.44
+0.75 1.39 1.22
+1.00 1.22 1.10
+1.25 1.18 1.08
+1.50 1.14 1.07
+1.75 1.08 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.10 2.75
-0.50 2.95 2.30
-0.25 2.56 2.00
0 2.17 1.65
+0.25 1.80 1.46
+0.50 1.58 1.36
+0.75 1.41 1.28
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
More