Cove Rangers vs East Fife Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Cove Rangers
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1.44 1.16
East Fife
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Cove Rangers opened at -0.25 against East Fife in the League One. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.25
Cove Rangers -0.25

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Cove Rangers -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Decision
LEAN
East Fife +0.25
@ 2.42
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.00
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.00
Price Advantage
+21.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.94 / 2.35 -0.25 1.94 / 2.35 — 0
Bet365 0 1.72 / 2.08 0 1.72 / 2.08 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.96 / 2.35 -0.25 1.96 / 2.35 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.02 / 2.42 -0.25 2.02 / 2.42 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.25
xG 1.44 / 1.16 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.94
Cove Rangers @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.00
Cove Rangers @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.94 vs 2.00
Market price is 3.0% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.15 8.30
-1.50 4.65 6.15
-1.25 4.19 5.64
-1.00 3.70 5.10
-0.75 2.69 3.42
-0.25 1.96 2.35
0 1.66 2.03
+0.25 1.47 1.71
+0.75 1.23 1.36
+1.00 1.10 1.20
+1.25 1.08 1.15
+1.50 1.06 1.12

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.40 5.90
-1.25 4.00 5.50
-1.00 3.55 5.00
-0.75 2.75 3.45
-0.50 2.30 2.75
-0.25 2.02 2.42
0 1.72 2.08
+0.25 1.52 1.78
+0.50 1.42 1.60
+0.75 1.30 1.42
+1.00 1.17 1.27
+1.25 1.15 1.23
+1.50 1.13 1.20

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.30 2.75
-0.25 2.02 2.42
+0.25 1.55 1.78
+0.50 1.44 1.60

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.15 8.30
-1.50 4.65 6.15
-1.25 4.20 5.65
-1.00 3.70 5.10
-0.75 2.69 3.42
-0.25 1.94 2.35
0 1.66 2.03
+0.25 1.47 1.70
+0.75 1.23 1.36
+1.00 1.10 1.20
+1.25 1.08 1.16
+1.50 1.06 1.12
Primary Bets
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