Airdrie United vs Montrose Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Airdrie United
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
1.37 1.23
Montrose
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Airdrie United opened at -0.25 against Montrose in the League One. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Airdrie United -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.13
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.13 AH points more toward Montrose than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Montrose +0.25
@ 2.75
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.13
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.86
Price Advantage
+47.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.74 / 2.62 -0.25 1.75 / 2.59 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.80 / 2.75 -0.25 1.80 / 2.75 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.76 / 2.62 -0.25 1.76 / 2.59 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.80 / 2.77 -0.25 1.80 / 2.75 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
xG 1.37 / 1.23 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.75
Airdrie United @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.16
Airdrie United @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.75 vs 2.16
Market price is 19.0% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.75 8.30
-1.50 3.74 6.35
-1.25 3.34 5.95
-1.00 2.92 5.50
-0.75 2.30 3.74
-0.25 1.76 2.59
0 1.52 2.29
+0.25 1.39 1.90
+0.75 1.19 1.49
+1.00 1.08 1.31
+1.25 1.07 1.24
+1.50 1.06 1.19

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.70 6.80
-1.25 3.45 6.40
-1.00 3.00 5.90
-0.75 2.35 3.90
-0.50 2.05 3.10
-0.25 1.80 2.75
0 1.55 2.38
+0.25 1.42 2.00
+0.50 1.35 1.75
+0.75 1.24 1.58
+1.00 1.13 1.38
+1.25 1.12 1.30
+1.50 1.10 1.26

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.80 2.75
+0.25 1.44 1.98

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.75 8.30
-1.50 3.74 6.35
-1.25 3.34 5.95
-1.00 2.92 5.50
-0.75 2.30 3.74
-0.25 1.75 2.59
0 1.52 2.29
+0.25 1.39 1.88
+0.75 1.19 1.49
+1.00 1.08 1.31
+1.25 1.07 1.24
+1.50 1.06 1.19
Primary Bets
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