Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Stenhousemuir
Oct 17, 2026 - 14:00
1.35 1.25
Raith Rovers
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Stenhousemuir opened at -0.25 against Raith Rovers in the Championship. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Stenhousemuir -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Raith Rovers than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Stenhousemuir -0.25
@ 2.54
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.22
Price Advantage
+14.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.46 / 1.90 -0.25 2.46 / 1.90 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.11 / 1.71 0 2.11 / 1.71 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.50 / 2.02 -0.25 2.50 / 2.02 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.49 / 1.90 -0.25 2.49 / 1.90 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
xG 1.35 / 1.25 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.46
Stenhousemuir @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.22
Stenhousemuir @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.46 vs 2.22
Market price is 10.8% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.45 5.90
-1.50 6.40 4.55
-1.25 5.94 4.11
-1.00 5.45 3.58
-0.75 3.58 2.66
-0.25 2.49 1.90
0 2.11 1.62
+0.25 1.73 1.45
+0.75 1.37 1.21
+1.00 1.21 1.08
+1.25 1.16 1.07
+1.50 1.13 1.05

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.60 4.65
-1.25 6.00 4.25
-1.00 5.50 3.80
-0.75 3.70 2.75
-0.50 2.85 2.35
-0.25 2.50 2.02
0 2.15 1.68
+0.25 1.78 1.50
+0.50 1.58 1.40
+0.75 1.42 1.26
+1.00 1.25 1.15
+1.25 1.21 1.12
+1.50 1.18 1.11

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.50 5.90
-1.50 6.40 4.55
-1.25 5.95 4.10
-1.00 5.45 3.58
-0.75 3.58 2.66
-0.25 2.46 1.90
0 2.11 1.62
+0.25 1.73 1.43
+0.75 1.37 1.21
+1.00 1.21 1.08
+1.25 1.16 1.07
+1.50 1.13 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.77 2.97
-0.50 2.95 2.42
-0.25 2.54 2.08
0 2.11 1.71
+0.25 1.75 1.50
+0.50 1.55 1.38
+0.75 1.38 1.26
Primary Bets
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