Livingston vs Partick Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Livingston
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1.38 1.22
Partick
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 6 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Livingston opened at -0.25 against Partick in the Championship. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.14
Livingston -0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Livingston -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward Partick than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Partick +0.25
@ 2.60
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.11
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.88
Price Advantage
+38.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.94 / 2.35 -0.25 1.94 / 2.35 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.70 / 2.14 0 1.70 / 2.14 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.00 / 2.60 -0.25 2.00 / 2.60 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.96 / 2.35 -0.25 1.96 / 2.35 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.57 / 1.72 +0.25 1.57 / 1.72 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.94 / 2.43 -0.25 1.94 / 2.43 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.14
xG 1.38 / 1.22 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.94
Livingston @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.14
Livingston @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.94 vs 2.14
Market price is 9.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.20 10.00
-1.75 5.90 8.00
-1.50 4.50 5.90
-1.25 4.09 5.40
-1.00 3.58 4.95
-0.75 2.66 3.34
-0.25 1.96 2.35
0 1.67 2.03
+0.25 1.47 1.72
+0.75 1.24 1.37
+1.00 1.11 1.21
+1.25 1.09 1.16
+1.50 1.07 1.13
+1.75 1.02 1.07

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.25 6.00
-1.25 3.90 5.75
-1.00 3.45 5.25
-0.75 2.68 3.55
-0.50 2.30 3.00
-0.25 2.00 2.60
0 1.68 2.15
+0.25 1.48 1.80
+0.50 1.38 1.60
+0.75 1.27 1.45
+1.00 1.16 1.30
+1.25 1.14 1.24
+1.50 1.12 1.21

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.94 2.43
0 1.65 2.07
+0.25 1.47 1.74

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.42 2.72
-0.25 2.10 2.37
+0.25 1.57 1.72
+0.50 1.44 1.55

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.90 8.00
-1.50 4.50 5.90
-1.25 4.10 5.40
-1.00 3.58 4.95
-0.75 2.66 3.34
-0.25 1.94 2.35
0 1.67 2.03
+0.25 1.47 1.70
+0.75 1.24 1.37
+1.00 1.11 1.21
+1.25 1.09 1.16
+1.50 1.07 1.13
+1.75 1.02 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.80 3.64
-0.50 2.34 2.90
-0.25 2.03 2.53
0 1.70 2.14
+0.25 1.51 1.79
+0.50 1.39 1.59
+0.75 1.27 1.42
Primary Bets
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