Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Inverness CT
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1.31 1.29
Stenhousemuir
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Inverness CT opened at -0.25 against Stenhousemuir in the Championship. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Inverness CT -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward Stenhousemuir than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Stenhousemuir +0.25
@ 3.13
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.75
Price Advantage
+78.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.63 / 3.08 -0.25 1.63 / 3.08 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.73 / 3.13 -0.25 1.73 / 3.13 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.88 / 2.75 -0.25 1.88 / 2.75 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.63 / 3.08 -0.25 1.63 / 3.08 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.72 / 2.96 -0.25 1.56 / 2.96 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
xG 1.31 / 1.29 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.73
Inverness CT @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.33
Inverness CT @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.73 vs 2.33
Market price is 25.8% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.58 9.00
-1.25 3.24 8.45
-1.00 2.83 7.80
-0.75 2.19 4.79
-0.25 1.63 3.08
0 1.38 2.62
+0.25 1.28 2.03
+0.75 1.12 1.54
+1.00 1.02 1.35

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.15 7.00
-1.25 3.70 6.60
-1.00 3.30 6.00
-0.75 2.50 4.00
-0.50 2.15 3.30
-0.25 1.88 2.75
0 1.58 2.35
+0.25 1.42 1.92
+0.50 1.32 1.68
+0.75 1.23 1.50
+1.00 1.12 1.32
+1.25 1.11 1.26
+1.50 1.10 1.22

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.56 2.96
0 1.33 2.98
+0.25 1.33 2.23

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.58 9.00
-1.25 3.20 8.50
-1.00 2.83 7.80
-0.75 2.19 4.80
-0.25 1.63 3.08
0 1.38 2.62
+0.25 1.28 2.03
+0.75 1.12 1.54
+1.00 1.02 1.35

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.01 3.59
-0.25 1.73 3.13
0 1.46 2.67
+0.25 1.34 2.09
+0.50 1.28 1.80
Primary Bets
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