FA Šiauliai II vs Kauno Žalgiris II Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FA Šiauliai II
Final Score
3 – 3
(HT 0-0)
Kauno Žalgiris II
Kick-off 15:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FA Šiauliai II opened at 0 against Kauno Žalgiris II in the 1 Lyga. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.37 / 1.23
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
FA Šiauliai II 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.12
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.12 AH points more toward FA Šiauliai II than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
FA Šiauliai II 0
@ 1.93
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.12
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.84
Price Advantage
+4.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:30
Opening
0
12:44
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.73 / 1.94 0 1.78 / 1.88 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.75 / 1.97 0 1.93 / 1.79 — 0
1xBet 0 1.70 / 2.03 0 1.78 / 1.88 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.65 / 1.68 0 1.65 / 1.68 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 7.30 8.00
-1.50 4.15 4.50
-1.00 3.42 3.76
-0.75 2.66 2.87
-0.25 2.04 2.14
0 1.78 1.88
+0.25 1.57 1.66
+0.75 1.32 1.37
+1.00 1.19 1.23
+1.50 1.13 1.16
+2.00 1.02 1.03

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.65 1.68

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 7.30 8.00
-1.50 4.15 4.50
-1.00 3.42 3.76
-0.75 2.66 2.88
-0.25 2.02 2.14
0 1.78 1.88
+0.25 1.57 1.64
+0.75 1.32 1.37
+1.00 1.19 1.23
+1.50 1.13 1.16
+2.00 1.02 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.85 2.64
-0.50 2.42 2.27
-0.25 2.18 2.04
0 1.93 1.79
+0.25 1.68 1.59
+0.50 1.53 1.47
+0.75 1.39 1.34
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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