Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Fagiano Okayama
Oct 18, 2026 - 04:55
0.81 1.56
Vissel Kobe
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 5 books · 60% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Fagiano Okayama opened at 0 against Vissel Kobe in the J1 League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 5 valid books, with 60% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.70
Fagiano Okayama +0.70

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Fagiano Okayama 0
Model–Market Gap
0.70
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 5 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.70 AH points more toward Vissel Kobe than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Vissel Kobe 0
@ 1.76
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.70
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.35
Price Advantage
+30.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 5 valid books · 60% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 2.04 / 1.71 0 2.04 / 1.71 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.12 / 1.76 0 2.12 / 1.76 — 0
1xBet 0 2.09 / 1.76 0 2.09 / 1.76 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.80 / 2.35 -0.50 2.80 / 2.35 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.41 / 1.99 -0.25 2.41 / 1.99 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.70
xG 0.81 / 1.56 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.12
Fagiano Okayama @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
3.84
Fagiano Okayama @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.12 vs 3.84
Market price is 44.8% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.95 6.56
-1.50 5.95 4.75
-1.25 5.49 4.30
-1.00 5.00 3.82
-0.75 3.35 2.75
-0.25 2.49 1.98
0 2.09 1.76
+0.25 1.69 1.55
+0.75 1.35 1.24
+1.00 1.19 1.10
+1.25 1.15 1.08
+1.50 1.12 1.07
+1.75 1.06 1.02

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.41 1.99
0 2.02 1.68
+0.25 1.70 1.48

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.80 2.35
+0.50 1.57 1.42

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.00 6.20
-1.50 5.95 4.75
-1.25 5.50 4.30
-1.00 5.00 3.82
-0.75 3.35 2.75
-0.25 2.38 1.98
0 2.04 1.71
+0.25 1.69 1.48
+0.75 1.35 1.24
+1.00 1.19 1.10
+1.25 1.15 1.08
+1.50 1.12 1.07
+1.75 1.06 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.43 4.09
-0.75 3.70 2.99
-0.50 2.95 2.47
-0.25 2.54 2.12
0 2.12 1.76
+0.25 1.75 1.54
+0.50 1.56 1.41
+0.75 1.40 1.28
+1.00 1.24 1.16
Primary Bets
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