Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Ryukyu Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Thespakusatsu Gunma
Oct 10, 2026 - 05:00
1.42 1.18
FC Ryukyu
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Thespakusatsu Gunma opened at 0 against FC Ryukyu in the J3 League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
Thespakusatsu Gunma -0.21

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
Model–Market Gap
0.21
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.21 AH points more toward Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
@ 1.82
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.21
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.74
Price Advantage
+4.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.79 / 1.87 — 0
Bet365 0 1.82 / 1.98 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.79 / 1.87 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.35 / 2.60 -0.50 2.35 / 2.60 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
xG 1.42 / 1.18 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.79
Thespakusatsu Gunma @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.74
Thespakusatsu Gunma @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.79 vs 1.74
Market price is 2.9% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.00 10.00
-2.00 8.90 8.90
-1.75 6.30 7.25
-1.50 4.80 5.15
-1.25 4.35 4.70
-1.00 3.90 4.20
-0.75 2.83 3.03
-0.25 2.08 2.15
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.56 1.63
+0.75 1.29 1.33
+1.00 1.15 1.18
+1.25 1.12 1.14
+1.50 1.10 1.12
+1.75 1.05 1.06
+2.00 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.82 1.98

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.35 2.60
+0.50 1.45 1.55

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.30 6.80
-1.50 4.80 5.15
-1.25 4.35 4.70
-1.00 3.90 4.20
-0.75 2.83 3.04
-0.25 2.06 2.15
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.56 1.62
+0.75 1.29 1.33
+1.00 1.15 1.18
+1.25 1.12 1.14
+1.50 1.10 1.12
+1.75 1.04 1.06
Primary Bets
More