Biwako Shiga vs Roasso Kumamoto Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Biwako Shiga
Oct 02, 2026 - 10:00
1.32 1.28
Roasso Kumamoto
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 6 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
+0.25
Toward Away · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Biwako Shiga opened at -0.25 against Roasso Kumamoto in the J3 League. The current market consensus is 0. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Roasso Kumamoto from the opening line. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Biwako Shiga 0
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Biwako Shiga than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Biwako Shiga 0
@ 2.02
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.95
Price Advantage
+3.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.33 / 1.92 0 1.94 / 1.73 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.01 / 1.79 0 2.01 / 1.79 — 0
Bet365 0 2.02 / 1.78 0 2.02 / 1.78 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.36 / 1.92 0 1.94 / 1.73 — +0.25
Betano -0.25 2.47 / 1.95 -0.25 2.35 / 2.07 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.13 / 1.74 -0.25 2.02 / 1.83 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
xG 1.32 / 1.28 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.01
Biwako Shiga @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.95
Biwako Shiga @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.01 vs 1.95
Market price is 3.1% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.95 5.89
-1.50 5.35 4.60
-1.25 4.94 4.20
-1.00 4.50 3.76
-0.75 3.14 2.74
-0.25 2.28 2.00
0 1.94 1.73
+0.25 1.65 1.52
+0.75 1.35 1.27
+1.00 1.19 1.13
+1.25 1.15 1.11
+1.50 1.13 1.09
+1.75 1.07 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 2.02 1.78

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.26 2.06
-0.25 2.02 1.83
0 1.75 1.59
+0.25 1.53 1.42
+0.50 1.40 1.32

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.67 2.40
-0.25 2.35 2.07
+0.25 1.70 1.55
+0.50 1.53 1.44

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.95 5.90
-1.50 5.35 4.60
-1.25 4.95 4.20
-1.00 4.50 3.76
-0.75 3.14 2.74
-0.25 2.26 2.00
0 1.94 1.73
+0.25 1.65 1.51
+0.75 1.35 1.27
+1.00 1.19 1.13
+1.25 1.16 1.11
+1.50 1.13 1.09
+1.75 1.07 1.04

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.27 2.87
-0.50 2.67 2.40
-0.25 2.35 2.10
0 2.01 1.79
+0.25 1.69 1.56
+0.50 1.52 1.43
+0.75 1.38 1.30
Primary Bets
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