FC Gifu vs Renofa Yamaguchi Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FC Gifu
Oct 03, 2026 - 05:00
1.31 1.29
Renofa Yamaguchi
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FC Gifu opened at -0.25 against Renofa Yamaguchi in the J3 League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
FC Gifu -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward Renofa Yamaguchi than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Renofa Yamaguchi +0.25
@ 2.46
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.75
Price Advantage
+40.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.85 / 2.46 -0.25 1.85 / 2.46 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.87 / 2.46 -0.25 1.87 / 2.46 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.98 / 2.42 -0.25 1.98 / 2.42 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
xG 1.31 / 1.29 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.85
FC Gifu @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.33
FC Gifu @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.85 vs 2.33
Market price is 20.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.49 8.40
-1.50 4.20 6.20
-1.25 3.80 5.70
-1.00 3.34 5.20
-0.75 2.52 3.50
-0.25 1.87 2.46
0 1.61 2.11
+0.25 1.43 1.79
+0.75 1.22 1.41
+1.00 1.10 1.24
+1.25 1.08 1.19
+1.50 1.06 1.15

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.98 2.42
+0.25 1.52 1.78

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.50 8.40
-1.50 4.20 6.20
-1.25 3.80 5.70
-1.00 3.34 5.20
-0.75 2.52 3.50
-0.25 1.85 2.46
0 1.61 2.11
+0.25 1.43 1.77
+0.75 1.22 1.41
+1.00 1.10 1.24
+1.25 1.08 1.19
+1.50 1.06 1.15
Primary Bets
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