Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Hapoel Haifa
Oct 10, 2026 - 16:00
1.30 1.30
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Hapoel Haifa opened at -0.25 against Maccabi Petah Tikva in the Ligat Ha'al. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Hapoel Haifa -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.25
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.25 AH points more toward Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Maccabi Petah Tikva +0.25
@ 3.04
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.25
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.74
Price Advantage
+74.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.75 / 2.62 -0.25 1.70 / 2.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.83 / 2.85 -0.25 1.81 / 3.04 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.70 / 3.10 -0.25 1.78 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.79 / 2.62 -0.25 1.74 / 2.81 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.78 / 2.72 -0.25 1.72 / 2.72 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.73 / 2.77 -0.25 1.71 / 2.79 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
0
xG 1.30 / 1.30 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.81
Hapoel Haifa @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.36
Hapoel Haifa @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.81 vs 2.36
Market price is 23.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 5.90 9.90
-1.75 4.24 8.50
-1.50 3.34 6.55
-1.25 3.08 6.15
-1.00 2.74 5.75
-0.75 2.21 4.00
-0.25 1.74 2.81
0 1.48 2.49
+0.25 1.34 1.99
+0.75 1.17 1.53
+1.00 1.07 1.35
+1.25 1.06 1.28
+1.50 1.05 1.24

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.55 7.00
-1.25 3.30 6.60
-1.00 3.00 6.00
-0.75 2.35 4.15
-0.50 2.05 3.45
-0.25 1.78 2.85
0 1.50 2.50
+0.25 1.40 2.02
+0.50 1.30 1.75
+0.75 1.22 1.58
+1.00 1.12 1.38
+1.25 1.11 1.32
+1.50 1.10 1.27

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.71 2.79
0 1.47 2.45
+0.25 1.37 1.99

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.72 2.72
+0.25 1.42 2.05

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.25 8.50
-1.50 3.34 6.55
-1.25 3.08 6.15
-1.00 2.74 5.75
-0.75 2.21 4.00
-0.25 1.70 2.81
0 1.48 2.49
+0.25 1.34 1.95
+0.75 1.17 1.53
+1.00 1.07 1.35
+1.25 1.06 1.28
+1.50 1.05 1.24

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.40 4.60
-0.50 2.08 3.48
-0.25 1.81 3.04
0 1.52 2.58
+0.25 1.39 2.04
+0.50 1.30 1.76
+0.75 1.20 1.58
Primary Bets
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