FC Zurich vs FC Thun Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FC Zurich
Oct 10, 2026 - 16:00
1.71 1.55
FC Thun
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FC Zurich opened at 0 against FC Thun in the Super League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.15
FC Zurich -0.15

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
FC Zurich 0
Model–Market Gap
0.15
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.15 AH points more toward FC Zurich than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
FC Zurich 0
@ 2.13
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.15
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.84
Price Advantage
+15.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 2.04 / 1.71 0 2.04 / 1.71 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.13 / 1.75 0 2.13 / 1.75 — 0
Bet365 0 2.10 / 1.70 0 2.10 / 1.70 — 0
1xBet 0 2.04 / 1.71 0 2.04 / 1.71 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.35 / 2.00 -0.25 2.35 / 2.00 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.15
xG 1.71 / 1.55 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.13
FC Zurich @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.84
FC Zurich @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.13 vs 1.84
Market price is 15.8% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.30 7.20
-2.00 8.70 6.50
-1.75 6.00 4.65
-1.50 4.70 3.74
-1.25 4.34 3.34
-1.00 3.98 3.05
-0.75 2.98 2.44
-0.25 2.32 1.90
0 2.04 1.71
+0.25 1.75 1.55
+0.75 1.44 1.30
+1.00 1.28 1.17
+1.25 1.24 1.14
+1.50 1.19 1.12
+1.75 1.12 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.40 4.65
-1.50 5.00 3.70
-1.25 4.50 3.45
-1.00 4.15 3.10
-0.75 3.30 2.50
-0.50 2.68 2.20
-0.25 2.38 1.98
0 2.10 1.70
+0.25 1.82 1.55
+0.50 1.65 1.45
+0.75 1.50 1.32
+1.00 1.35 1.22
+1.25 1.30 1.19
+1.50 1.26 1.17
+1.75 1.18 1.12

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.35 2.00
+0.25 1.78 1.57

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.30 7.20
-2.00 8.70 6.50
-1.75 6.00 4.65
-1.50 4.70 3.74
-1.25 4.35 3.34
-1.00 3.98 3.05
-0.75 2.98 2.44
-0.25 2.27 1.90
0 2.04 1.71
+0.25 1.75 1.52
+0.75 1.44 1.30
+1.00 1.28 1.17
+1.25 1.24 1.14
+1.50 1.19 1.12
+1.75 1.12 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.34 2.67
-0.50 2.77 2.30
-0.25 2.46 2.03
0 2.13 1.75
+0.25 1.83 1.56
+0.50 1.65 1.45
+0.75 1.49 1.33
Primary Bets
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