FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FC WIL 1900
Oct 23, 2026 - 17:30
1.29 1.31
Rapperswil
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
2 / 3 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FC WIL 1900 opened at -0.25 against Rapperswil in the Challenge League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 2 of 3 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
FC WIL 1900 -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.27
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 2 / 3 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.27 AH points more toward Rapperswil than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Rapperswil +0.25
@ 2.55
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.27
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.72
Price Advantage
+48.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
2 / 3 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.81 / 2.38 -0.25 1.81 / 2.38 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.91 / 2.55 -0.25 1.91 / 2.55 — 0
1xBet 0 1.61 / 2.11 0 1.61 / 2.11 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
xG 1.29 / 1.31 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.91
FC WIL 1900 @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.39
FC WIL 1900 @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.91 vs 2.39
Market price is 20.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.61 2.11

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 6.30 9.00
-1.75 4.50 6.70
-1.50 3.58 5.20
-1.25 3.28 4.80
-1.00 2.92 4.45
-0.75 2.35 3.20
-0.25 1.81 2.38
0 1.61 2.11
+0.25 1.46 1.81
+0.75 1.26 1.47
+1.00 1.14 1.31
+1.25 1.11 1.25
+1.50 1.10 1.21
+1.75 1.05 1.13

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.50 3.50
-0.50 2.15 2.86
-0.25 1.91 2.55
0 1.65 2.22
+0.25 1.50 1.89
+0.50 1.40 1.68
+0.75 1.29 1.52
Primary Bets
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