SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900 Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

SC Kriens
Oct 09, 2026 - 17:30
1.32 1.28
FC WIL 1900
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

SC Kriens opened at -0.25 against FC WIL 1900 in the Challenge League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
SC Kriens -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.21
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.21 AH points more toward FC WIL 1900 than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
FC WIL 1900 +0.25
@ 2.62
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.21
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+48.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.79 / 2.43 -0.25 1.79 / 2.43 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.87 / 2.62 -0.25 1.87 / 2.62 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.81 / 2.43 -0.25 1.81 / 2.43 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.83 / 2.55 -0.25 1.83 / 2.55 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
xG 1.32 / 1.28 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.87
SC Kriens @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.30
SC Kriens @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.87 vs 2.30
Market price is 18.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 6.15 9.60
-1.75 4.44 7.38
-1.50 3.50 5.40
-1.25 3.20 5.04
-1.00 2.88 4.65
-0.75 2.30 3.34
-0.25 1.81 2.43
0 1.58 2.17
+0.25 1.44 1.85
+0.75 1.24 1.49
+1.00 1.12 1.32
+1.25 1.10 1.26
+1.50 1.09 1.22
+1.75 1.04 1.14

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.83 2.55
+0.25 1.47 1.90

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.45 7.00
-1.50 3.50 5.40
-1.25 3.20 5.05
-1.00 2.88 4.65
-0.75 2.30 3.34
-0.25 1.79 2.43
0 1.58 2.17
+0.25 1.44 1.83
+0.75 1.24 1.49
+1.00 1.12 1.32
+1.25 1.10 1.26
+1.50 1.09 1.22
+1.75 1.04 1.14

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.43 3.63
-0.50 2.11 2.95
-0.25 1.87 2.62
0 1.62 2.28
+0.25 1.48 1.93
+0.50 1.38 1.71
+0.75 1.27 1.54
Primary Bets
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