Loznica vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Loznica
Final Score
2 – 0
(HT 2-0)
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Kick-off 18:00 Stadium Lagator Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Loznica opened at 0 against FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV in the Prva Liga. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.16
Loznica -0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.39 / 1.21
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Loznica 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Loznica than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Loznica 0
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.79
Price Advantage
+6.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
16:15
Opening
0
18:00
Last Pre-Match
0
17:59
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.73 / 1.94 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 1.92 0 1.83 / 1.92 0 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 0
1xBet 0 1.85 / 1.85 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 0
BetVictor 0 1.83 / 1.83 0 1.80 / 1.87 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.00 10.00
-2.00 9.00 9.20
-1.50 4.94 5.43
-1.25 4.53 4.40
-1.00 4.03 4.51
-0.75 2.92 3.08
-0.25 2.17 2.27
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.59 1.64
+0.75 1.28 1.31
+1.00 1.20 1.25
+1.25 1.14 1.20
+1.50 1.13 1.15

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 6.80
-1.50 4.80 5.25
-1.25 4.40 4.80
-1.00 4.00 4.40
-0.75 3.00 3.30
-0.50 2.50 2.68
-0.25 2.20 2.35
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.58 1.65
+0.50 1.45 1.50
+0.75 1.32 1.38
+1.00 1.20 1.23
+1.25 1.18 1.20
+1.50 1.16 1.18
+1.75 1.10 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.80 1.87

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 9.20
-1.50 4.95 5.25
-1.25 4.55 4.55
-1.00 4.10 4.40
-0.75 2.92 3.08
-0.25 2.10 2.19
0 1.79 1.87
+0.25 1.54 1.59
+0.75 1.28 1.31
+1.00 1.14 1.16
+1.25 1.13 1.13
+1.50 1.09 1.11

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.99 3.15
-0.50 2.47 2.58
-0.25 2.16 2.26
0 1.83 1.92
+0.25 1.57 1.63
+0.50 1.43 1.47
+0.75 1.30 1.33
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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