Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Mladost Lucani
Oct 10, 2026 - 16:00
1.41 1.72
OFK Beograd
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Mladost Lucani opened at 0 against OFK Beograd in the Super Liga. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.28
Mladost Lucani +0.28

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Mladost Lucani 0
Model–Market Gap
0.28
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.28 AH points more toward OFK Beograd than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
OFK Beograd 0
@ 1.80
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.28
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.70
Price Advantage
+5.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.83 0 1.94 / 1.73 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.03 / 1.77 0 2.03 / 1.77 — 0
Bet365 0 1.88 / 1.92 0 2.02 / 1.78 — 0
1xBet 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 2.02 / 1.80 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.15 / 2.22 -0.25 2.15 / 2.22 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.28
xG 1.41 / 1.72 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.03
Mladost Lucani @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.42
Mladost Lucani @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.03 vs 2.42
Market price is 16.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.95 9.95
-1.75 7.30 6.25
-1.50 6.17 5.12
-1.25 5.21 4.38
-1.00 5.30 4.27
-0.75 3.32 2.86
-0.25 2.37 2.06
0 2.02 1.80
+0.25 1.70 1.58
+0.75 1.36 1.29
+1.00 1.20 1.13
+1.25 1.15 1.11
+1.50 1.13 1.09
+1.75 1.06 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.00 6.60
-1.50 5.90 5.00
-1.25 5.50 4.40
-1.00 4.80 4.00
-0.75 3.45 3.00
-0.50 2.75 2.38
-0.25 2.38 2.10
0 2.02 1.78
+0.25 1.70 1.55
+0.50 1.55 1.42
+0.75 1.38 1.30
+1.00 1.23 1.18
+1.25 1.20 1.15
+1.50 1.17 1.13
+1.75 1.11 1.10

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.70 2.42
-0.25 2.15 2.22
+0.25 1.62 1.65
+0.50 1.52 1.42

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.30 6.25
-1.50 5.60 4.80
-1.25 5.15 4.35
-1.00 4.70 3.90
-0.75 3.20 2.81
-0.25 2.26 2.00
0 1.94 1.73
+0.25 1.65 1.51
+0.75 1.33 1.26
+1.00 1.18 1.12
+1.25 1.14 1.10
+1.50 1.12 1.08
+1.75 1.06 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.44 2.94
-0.50 2.78 2.43
-0.25 2.42 2.11
0 2.03 1.77
+0.25 1.69 1.53
+0.50 1.51 1.40
+0.75 1.36 1.27
Primary Bets
More