Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 16, 2026 - 16:00
2.01 1.32
Raków Częstochowa
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
2 / 3 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Wieczysta Kraków opened at 0 against Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 2 of 3 valid books, with 67% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.66
Wieczysta Kraków -0.66

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Wieczysta Kraków 0
Model–Market Gap
0.66
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 2 / 3 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.66 AH points more toward Wieczysta Kraków than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Wieczysta Kraków 0
@ 1.76
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.66
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.47
Price Advantage
+19.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
2 / 3 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.76 / 1.96 0 1.76 / 1.96 — 0
1xBet 0 1.76 / 1.96 0 1.76 / 1.96 — 0
Betano +0.50 1.50 / 1.57 +0.50 1.50 / 1.57 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.66
xG 2.01 / 1.32 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.76
Wieczysta Kraków @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.47
Wieczysta Kraków @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.76 vs 1.47
Market price is 19.7% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.60 9.80
-2.00 8.70 8.80
-1.75 5.70 7.08
-1.50 4.40 5.10
-1.25 3.98 4.69
-1.00 3.50 4.25
-0.75 2.69 3.06
-0.25 2.03 2.23
0 1.76 1.96
+0.25 1.53 1.70
+0.75 1.29 1.36
+1.00 1.15 1.22
+1.25 1.12 1.17
+1.50 1.10 1.14
+1.75 1.05 1.08

Betano Main +0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.35 2.57
+0.50 1.50 1.57

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.70 6.75
-1.50 4.40 5.10
-1.25 3.98 4.70
-1.00 3.50 4.25
-0.75 2.69 3.05
-0.25 1.99 2.23
0 1.76 1.96
+0.25 1.53 1.67
+0.75 1.28 1.36
+1.00 1.15 1.22
+1.25 1.12 1.17
+1.50 1.10 1.14
+1.75 1.04 1.08
Primary Bets
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