Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Cracovia Krakow
Oct 17, 2026 - 18:15
1.37 1.21
Legia Warszawa
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Cracovia Krakow opened at 0 against Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.14
Cracovia Krakow -0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Cracovia Krakow 0
Model–Market Gap
0.14
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.14 AH points more toward Cracovia Krakow than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Cracovia Krakow 0
@ 2.05
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.14
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.81
Price Advantage
+13.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.99 / 1.74 0 1.99 / 1.74 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.05 / 1.80 0 2.05 / 1.80 — 0
1xBet 0 1.99 / 1.74 0 1.99 / 1.74 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.72 / 2.35 -0.50 2.72 / 2.35 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.14
xG 1.37 / 1.21 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.05
Cracovia Krakow @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.81
Cracovia Krakow @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.05 vs 1.81
Market price is 13.3% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 10.00 8.40
-1.75 7.50 6.54
-1.50 5.60 4.65
-1.25 5.10 4.20
-1.00 4.65 3.74
-0.75 3.20 2.74
-0.25 2.33 1.99
0 1.99 1.74
+0.25 1.67 1.54
+0.75 1.35 1.26
+1.00 1.19 1.12
+1.25 1.15 1.10
+1.50 1.12 1.08
+1.75 1.07 1.03

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.72 2.35
+0.50 1.57 1.45

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.50 6.15
-1.50 5.60 4.65
-1.25 5.10 4.20
-1.00 4.65 3.74
-0.75 3.20 2.74
-0.25 2.28 1.99
0 1.99 1.74
+0.25 1.67 1.51
+0.75 1.35 1.26
+1.00 1.19 1.12
+1.25 1.15 1.10
+1.50 1.12 1.08
+1.75 1.06 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.67 3.81
-0.75 3.34 2.86
-0.50 2.72 2.39
-0.25 2.39 2.10
0 2.05 1.80
+0.25 1.75 1.59
+0.50 1.58 1.47
+0.75 1.42 1.32
+1.00 1.26 1.19
Primary Bets
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