Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Radomiak Radom
Oct 12, 2026 - 16:00
1.26 1.55
Motor Lublin
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Radomiak Radom opened at 0 against Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.26
Radomiak Radom +0.26

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Radomiak Radom 0
Model–Market Gap
0.26
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.26 AH points more toward Motor Lublin than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Motor Lublin 0
@ 2.02
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.26
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.70
Price Advantage
+18.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.77 / 1.95 0 1.77 / 1.95 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 2.02 0 1.83 / 2.02 — 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 1.80 / 2.00 — 0
1xBet 0 1.77 / 1.95 0 1.77 / 1.95 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.05 / 2.30 -0.25 2.05 / 2.30 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.26
xG 1.26 / 1.55 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
Radomiak Radom @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.42
Radomiak Radom @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 2.42
Market price is 24.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.30 9.90
-2.00 8.50 9.00
-1.75 5.64 6.96
-1.50 4.33 5.00
-1.25 3.94 4.60
-1.00 3.50 4.15
-0.75 2.66 3.04
-0.25 2.04 2.19
0 1.77 1.95
+0.25 1.55 1.70
+0.75 1.29 1.37
+1.00 1.16 1.22
+1.25 1.13 1.17
+1.50 1.10 1.14
+1.75 1.06 1.08

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.90 6.60
-1.50 4.40 5.00
-1.25 4.00 4.50
-1.00 3.70 4.15
-0.75 2.85 3.10
-0.50 2.38 2.60
-0.25 2.10 2.30
0 1.80 2.00
+0.25 1.60 1.70
+0.50 1.48 1.55
+0.75 1.35 1.40
+1.00 1.22 1.26
+1.25 1.19 1.23
+1.50 1.17 1.20
+1.75 1.11 1.13

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.35 2.60
-0.25 2.05 2.30
+0.25 1.60 1.75
+0.50 1.47 1.57

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.65 6.55
-1.50 4.33 5.00
-1.25 3.94 4.60
-1.00 3.50 4.15
-0.75 2.66 3.04
-0.25 2.00 2.19
0 1.77 1.95
+0.25 1.55 1.67
+0.75 1.29 1.37
+1.00 1.16 1.22
+1.25 1.13 1.17
+1.50 1.10 1.14
+1.75 1.05 1.08

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.05 4.84
-0.75 3.07 3.49
-0.50 2.57 2.84
-0.25 2.20 2.43
0 1.83 2.02
+0.25 1.57 1.68
+0.50 1.43 1.51
+0.75 1.30 1.37
+1.00 1.18 1.24
Primary Bets
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