Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Piast Gliwice
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:45
1.43 1.34
Widzew Łódź
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Piast Gliwice opened at 0 against Widzew Łódź in the Ekstraklasa. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.08
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Piast Gliwice 0
Model–Market Gap
0.08
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.08 AH points more toward Piast Gliwice than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Piast Gliwice 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.08
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.90
Price Advantage
+4.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.91 / 1.81 0 1.91 / 1.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.98 / 1.85 0 1.98 / 1.85 — 0
Bet365 0 1.95 / 1.85 0 1.95 / 1.85 — 0
1xBet 0 1.91 / 1.81 0 1.91 / 1.81 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.67 / 1.62 +0.25 1.67 / 1.62 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.08
xG 1.43 / 1.34 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.98
Piast Gliwice @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.90
Piast Gliwice @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.98 vs 1.90
Market price is 4.2% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.80 9.90
-2.00 8.80 8.90
-1.75 6.85 6.71
-1.50 5.15 4.80
-1.25 4.70 4.39
-1.00 4.25 3.90
-0.75 3.04 2.83
-0.25 2.22 2.07
0 1.91 1.81
+0.25 1.62 1.60
+0.75 1.33 1.29
+1.00 1.18 1.15
+1.25 1.14 1.12
+1.50 1.11 1.10
+1.75 1.06 1.04
+2.00 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.80 6.40
-1.50 5.25 4.80
-1.25 4.65 4.40
-1.00 4.25 4.00
-0.75 3.10 3.00
-0.50 2.60 2.42
-0.25 2.25 2.15
0 1.95 1.85
+0.25 1.68 1.62
+0.50 1.52 1.48
+0.75 1.38 1.35
+1.00 1.23 1.21
+1.25 1.20 1.18
+1.50 1.18 1.16
+1.75 1.12 1.10

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.55 2.45
-0.25 2.25 2.15
+0.25 1.67 1.62
+0.50 1.53 1.50

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.85 6.40
-1.50 5.15 4.80
-1.25 4.70 4.40
-1.00 4.25 3.90
-0.75 3.04 2.83
-0.25 2.17 2.07
0 1.91 1.81
+0.25 1.62 1.56
+0.75 1.33 1.29
+1.00 1.18 1.15
+1.25 1.14 1.12
+1.50 1.11 1.10
+1.75 1.05 1.04

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.53 4.19
-0.75 3.27 3.06
-0.50 2.68 2.52
-0.25 2.33 2.19
0 1.98 1.85
+0.25 1.69 1.61
+0.50 1.53 1.48
+0.75 1.37 1.34
+1.00 1.23 1.20
Primary Bets
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