Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Jagiellonia
Oct 10, 2026 - 18:15
1.41 1.70
Gornik Zabrze
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Jagiellonia opened at 0 against Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.27
Jagiellonia +0.27

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Jagiellonia 0
Model–Market Gap
0.27
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.27 AH points more toward Gornik Zabrze than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Gornik Zabrze 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.27
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.72
Price Advantage
+15.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.86 / 1.85 0 1.81 / 1.91 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.85 / 1.98 0 1.85 / 1.98 — 0
Bet365 0 1.82 / 1.98 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.86 / 1.85 0 1.81 / 1.91 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.62 / 1.67 +0.25 1.62 / 1.70 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.78 / 1.90 0 1.78 / 1.90 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.27
xG 1.41 / 1.70 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.85
Jagiellonia @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.39
Jagiellonia @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.85 vs 2.39
Market price is 22.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.10 9.80
-2.00 8.50 9.20
-1.75 5.75 6.25
-1.50 4.50 4.90
-1.25 4.14 4.50
-1.00 3.72 4.05
-0.75 2.74 2.97
-0.25 2.08 2.17
0 1.81 1.91
+0.25 1.56 1.68
+0.75 1.30 1.35
+1.00 1.16 1.20
+1.25 1.13 1.16
+1.50 1.11 1.13
+1.75 1.06 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 7.00
-1.50 4.65 5.25
-1.25 4.25 4.65
-1.00 3.90 4.25
-0.75 2.85 3.10
-0.50 2.42 2.60
-0.25 2.10 2.30
0 1.82 1.98
+0.25 1.60 1.70
+0.50 1.48 1.52
+0.75 1.35 1.40
+1.00 1.21 1.24
+1.25 1.18 1.21
+1.50 1.16 1.18
+1.75 1.10 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.39 2.53
-0.25 2.08 2.22
0 1.78 1.90
+0.25 1.56 1.64
+0.50 1.44 1.49

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.45 2.60
-0.25 2.12 2.27
+0.25 1.62 1.70
+0.50 1.47 1.53

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.50 9.20
-1.75 5.75 6.25
-1.50 4.50 4.90
-1.25 4.15 4.50
-1.00 3.72 4.05
-0.75 2.74 2.97
-0.25 2.03 2.17
0 1.81 1.91
+0.25 1.56 1.64
+0.75 1.30 1.35
+1.00 1.16 1.20
+1.25 1.13 1.16
+1.50 1.11 1.13
+1.75 1.06 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.13 4.53
-0.75 3.06 3.30
-0.50 2.54 2.70
-0.25 2.20 2.34
0 1.85 1.98
+0.25 1.61 1.68
+0.50 1.47 1.52
+0.75 1.33 1.37
+1.00 1.20 1.23
Primary Bets
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