GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

GKS Katowice
Oct 12, 2026 - 18:30
1.71 1.61
Wieczysta Kraków
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

GKS Katowice opened at -0.25 against Wieczysta Kraków in the Ekstraklasa. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
GKS Katowice -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Wieczysta Kraków than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Wieczysta Kraków +0.25
@ 2.60
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.85
Price Advantage
+40.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.82 / 2.46 -0.25 1.82 / 2.46 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.86 / 2.46 -0.25 1.86 / 2.46 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.88 / 2.60 -0.25 1.88 / 2.60 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
xG 1.71 / 1.61 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.82
GKS Katowice @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.18
GKS Katowice @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.82 vs 2.18
Market price is 16.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.64 7.10
-1.50 3.70 5.55
-1.25 3.34 5.19
-1.00 2.97 4.80
-0.75 2.35 3.42
-0.25 1.86 2.46
0 1.60 2.21
+0.25 1.44 1.85
+0.75 1.23 1.47
+1.00 1.12 1.30
+1.25 1.10 1.24
+1.50 1.08 1.20
+1.75 1.04 1.12

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.88 2.60
+0.25 1.47 1.90

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.65 7.10
-1.50 3.70 5.55
-1.25 3.34 5.20
-1.00 2.97 4.80
-0.75 2.35 3.42
-0.25 1.82 2.46
0 1.60 2.21
+0.25 1.44 1.81
+0.75 1.23 1.47
+1.00 1.12 1.30
+1.25 1.10 1.24
+1.50 1.08 1.20
+1.75 1.04 1.12
Primary Bets
More