Le Havre vs Auxerre Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Le Havre
Oct 18, 2026 - 15:15
1.53 1.20
Auxerre
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Le Havre opened at 0 against Auxerre in the Ligue 1. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.30
Le Havre -0.30

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Le Havre 0
Model–Market Gap
0.30
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.30 AH points more toward Le Havre than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Le Havre 0
@ 1.82
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.30
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.66
Price Advantage
+9.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.76 / 2.09 0 1.76 / 2.09 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.82 / 2.09 0 1.82 / 2.09 — 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.05 0 1.80 / 2.05 — 0
1xBet 0 1.81 / 2.15 0 1.81 / 2.15 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.42 / 2.82 -0.50 2.42 / 2.82 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.72 / 1.97 0 1.72 / 1.97 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.30
xG 1.53 / 1.20 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.82
Le Havre @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.66
Le Havre @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.82 vs 1.66
Market price is 9.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.70 11.50
-1.75 6.24 9.40
-1.50 4.75 6.00
-1.25 4.32 5.52
-1.00 3.82 5.05
-0.75 2.81 3.46
-0.25 2.15 2.43
0 1.81 2.15
+0.25 1.52 1.82
+0.75 1.26 1.39
+1.00 1.13 1.22
+1.25 1.10 1.18
+1.50 1.08 1.14
+1.75 1.03 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.80 5.75
-1.25 4.40 5.25
-1.00 3.90 4.65
-0.75 2.85 3.45
-0.50 2.38 2.68
-0.25 2.10 2.38
0 1.80 2.05
+0.25 1.55 1.70
+0.50 1.45 1.55
+0.75 1.30 1.40
+1.00 1.18 1.24
+1.25 1.16 1.20
+1.50 1.14 1.18

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.83 3.35
-0.50 2.33 2.66
-0.25 2.02 2.32
0 1.72 1.97
+0.25 1.52 1.68
+0.50 1.40 1.51
+0.75 1.26 1.36

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.42 2.82
+0.50 1.45 1.60

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.20 8.00
-1.50 4.75 6.00
-1.25 4.30 5.55
-1.00 3.82 5.05
-0.75 2.81 3.48
-0.25 2.04 2.43
0 1.76 2.09
+0.25 1.52 1.73
+0.75 1.27 1.39
+1.00 1.13 1.22
+1.25 1.10 1.17
+1.50 1.08 1.14
+1.75 1.03 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.17 5.21
-0.75 3.04 3.59
-0.50 2.51 2.88
-0.25 2.16 2.49
0 1.82 2.09
+0.25 1.58 1.75
+0.50 1.45 1.57
+0.75 1.31 1.40
+1.00 1.18 1.25
Primary Bets
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