Rodez vs Montpellier Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Rodez
Oct 19, 2026 - 18:45
1.54 1.45
Montpellier
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Rodez opened at 0 against Montpellier in the Ligue 2. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.08
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Rodez 0
Model–Market Gap
0.08
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.08 AH points more toward Rodez than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Rodez 0
@ 2.06
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.08
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.90
Price Advantage
+8.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.96 / 1.77 0 1.96 / 1.77 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.01 / 1.83 0 2.06 / 1.79 — 0
Bet365 0 2.02 / 1.78 0 2.00 / 1.80 — 0
1xBet 0 1.96 / 1.77 0 1.96 / 1.77 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.85 / 2.57 -0.50 2.82 / 2.50 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.93 / 1.75 0 1.95 / 1.73 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.08
xG 1.54 / 1.45 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.06
Rodez @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.90
Rodez @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.06 vs 1.90
Market price is 8.4% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.00 9.30
-2.00 9.20 8.70
-1.75 6.95 5.89
-1.50 5.30 4.55
-1.25 4.89 4.14
-1.00 4.45 3.75
-0.75 3.22 2.84
-0.25 2.35 2.05
0 1.96 1.77
+0.25 1.64 1.54
+0.75 1.33 1.26
+1.00 1.19 1.14
+1.25 1.16 1.11
+1.50 1.13 1.09
+1.75 1.07 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.80 6.00
-1.50 5.25 4.50
-1.25 4.65 4.15
-1.00 4.25 3.70
-0.75 3.30 2.85
-0.50 2.60 2.38
-0.25 2.30 2.10
0 2.00 1.80
+0.25 1.70 1.60
+0.50 1.55 1.48
+0.75 1.40 1.32
+1.00 1.26 1.21
+1.25 1.22 1.18
+1.50 1.19 1.16
+1.75 1.12 1.10

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.59 2.30
-0.25 2.27 2.02
0 1.95 1.73
+0.25 1.68 1.54
+0.50 1.53 1.42

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.82 2.50
+0.50 1.57 1.45

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.95 5.90
-1.50 5.30 4.55
-1.25 4.90 4.15
-1.00 4.45 3.75
-0.75 3.22 2.84
-0.25 2.30 2.05
0 1.96 1.77
+0.25 1.64 1.51
+0.75 1.33 1.26
+1.00 1.19 1.14
+1.25 1.16 1.11
+1.50 1.13 1.09
+1.75 1.07 1.04

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.11 4.24
-0.75 3.66 3.13
-0.50 2.97 2.59
-0.25 2.52 2.19
0 2.06 1.79
+0.25 1.69 1.54
+0.50 1.51 1.40
+0.75 1.36 1.28
+1.00 1.22 1.17
Primary Bets
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