RED Star FC 93 vs Saint Etienne Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

RED Star FC 93
Oct 17, 2026 - 18:00
1.46 1.53
Saint Etienne
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 6 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

RED Star FC 93 opened at -0.25 against Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.06
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
RED Star FC 93 -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.31
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.31 AH points more toward Saint Etienne than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Saint Etienne +0.25
@ 2.04
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.31
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.70
Price Advantage
+20.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.89 / 1.68 -0.25 2.45 / 1.88 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 3.18 / 1.79 0 2.16 / 1.71 — +0.25
Bet365 -0.25 2.85 / 1.75 -0.25 2.60 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.95 / 1.68 -0.25 2.51 / 1.88 — 0
Betano -0.50 3.00 / 2.27 -0.50 3.00 / 2.27 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.83 / 1.71 -0.25 2.46 / 1.93 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.06
xG 1.46 / 1.53 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.45
RED Star FC 93 @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.42
RED Star FC 93 @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.45 vs 2.42
Market price is 1.2% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.00 5.50
-1.50 6.05 4.25
-1.25 5.55 3.82
-1.00 5.10 3.34
-0.75 3.44 2.53
-0.25 2.51 1.88
0 2.14 1.65
+0.25 1.77 1.48
+0.75 1.41 1.23
+1.00 1.24 1.10
+1.25 1.19 1.08
+1.50 1.15 1.06
+1.75 1.08 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.40 4.40
-1.25 5.90 3.90
-1.00 5.50 3.55
-0.75 3.70 2.68
-0.50 3.00 2.25
-0.25 2.60 1.98
0 2.20 1.65
+0.25 1.82 1.48
+0.50 1.62 1.38
+0.75 1.45 1.26
+1.00 1.27 1.15
+1.25 1.24 1.13
+1.50 1.20 1.12

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.46 1.93
0 2.08 1.64
+0.25 1.75 1.46

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.00 2.27
+0.50 1.67 1.42

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.00 5.50
-1.50 6.05 4.25
-1.25 5.55 3.82
-1.00 5.10 3.34
-0.75 3.44 2.53
-0.25 2.45 1.88
0 2.14 1.65
+0.25 1.77 1.45
+0.75 1.41 1.23
+1.00 1.24 1.10
+1.25 1.19 1.08
+1.50 1.15 1.06
+1.75 1.08 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.67 2.80
-0.50 2.92 2.35
-0.25 2.55 2.04
0 2.16 1.71
+0.25 1.81 1.52
+0.50 1.61 1.40
+0.75 1.44 1.28
Primary Bets
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