Grenoble vs Boulogne Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Grenoble
Oct 16, 2026 - 18:00
1.51 1.31
Boulogne
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Grenoble opened at 0 against Boulogne in the Ligue 2. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.18
Grenoble -0.18

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Grenoble 0
Model–Market Gap
0.18
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.18 AH points more toward Grenoble than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Grenoble 0
@ 2.03
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.18
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.79
Price Advantage
+13.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.96 / 1.77 0 1.96 / 1.77 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.03 / 1.81 0 2.03 / 1.81 — 0
1xBet 0 1.96 / 1.77 0 1.96 / 1.77 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.87 / 2.57 -0.50 2.85 / 2.57 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.18
xG 1.51 / 1.31 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.03
Grenoble @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.79
Grenoble @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.03 vs 1.79
Market price is 13.4% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.65 7.38
-1.50 5.80 5.05
-1.25 5.35 4.60
-1.00 4.90 4.15
-0.75 3.28 2.88
-0.25 2.35 2.05
0 1.96 1.77
+0.25 1.64 1.54
+0.75 1.32 1.25
+1.00 1.16 1.11
+1.25 1.13 1.09
+1.50 1.10 1.07
+1.75 1.05 1.02

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.85 2.57
+0.50 1.53 1.45

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.70 6.60
-1.50 5.80 5.05
-1.25 5.35 4.60
-1.00 4.90 4.15
-0.75 3.28 2.88
-0.25 2.30 2.05
0 1.96 1.77
+0.25 1.64 1.51
+0.75 1.32 1.25
+1.00 1.16 1.11
+1.25 1.13 1.09
+1.50 1.10 1.07
+1.75 1.05 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.43 4.61
-0.75 3.64 3.20
-0.50 2.88 2.58
-0.25 2.46 2.20
0 2.03 1.81
+0.25 1.68 1.56
+0.50 1.51 1.42
+0.75 1.35 1.28
+1.00 1.20 1.15
Primary Bets
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