Dunkerque vs Annecy Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Dunkerque
Final Score
0 – 1
(HT 0-1)
Annecy
Kick-off 18:00 Stadium Stade Marcel Tribut

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Dunkerque opened at -0.25 against Annecy in the Ligue 2. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.30 / 1.30
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Dunkerque -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.25
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.25 AH points more toward Annecy than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Annecy +0.25
@ 2.74
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.25
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.74
Price Advantage
+57.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
03:42
Opening
-0.25
18:01
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.83 / 2.51 -0.25 1.83 / 2.51 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.93 / 2.70 -0.25 1.99 / 2.74 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.95 / 2.60 -0.25 1.95 / 2.68 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.87 / 2.51 -0.25 1.87 / 2.51 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.50 / 1.87 +0.25 1.50 / 1.87 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.89 / 2.50 -0.25 1.88 / 2.53 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.10 8.20
-1.50 3.98 6.15
-1.25 3.58 5.74
-1.00 3.14 5.25
-0.75 2.44 3.60
-0.25 1.87 2.51
0 1.60 2.23
+0.25 1.43 1.86
+0.75 1.21 1.44
+1.00 1.09 1.27
+1.25 1.07 1.21
+1.50 1.06 1.17
+1.75 1.02 1.10

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 6.60
-1.25 3.70 6.00
-1.00 3.30 5.75
-0.75 2.50 3.90
-0.50 2.15 3.10
-0.25 1.95 2.68
0 1.60 2.30
+0.25 1.45 1.85
+0.50 1.35 1.68
+0.75 1.24 1.50
+1.00 1.14 1.32
+1.25 1.12 1.26
+1.50 1.11 1.23

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.88 2.53
0 1.59 2.16
+0.25 1.44 1.79

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.27 3.05
-0.25 1.98 2.67
+0.25 1.50 1.87
+0.50 1.40 1.67

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.10 8.20
-1.50 3.98 6.15
-1.25 3.58 5.75
-1.00 3.14 5.25
-0.75 2.44 3.60
-0.25 1.83 2.51
0 1.60 2.23
+0.25 1.43 1.82
+0.75 1.21 1.44
+1.00 1.09 1.27
+1.25 1.07 1.21
+1.50 1.06 1.17
+1.75 1.02 1.10

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.75 4.04
-0.50 2.30 3.16
-0.25 1.99 2.74
0 1.66 2.31
+0.25 1.49 1.89
+0.50 1.38 1.67
+0.75 1.26 1.49
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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