Dijon vs Metz Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Dijon
Oct 12, 2026 - 18:45
1.20 1.40
Metz
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Dijon opened at 0 against Metz in the Ligue 2. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.18
Dijon +0.18

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Dijon 0
Model–Market Gap
0.18
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.18 AH points more toward Metz than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Metz 0
@ 1.91
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.18
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+7.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.89 / 1.84 0 1.89 / 1.84 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.93 / 1.91 0 1.93 / 1.91 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.89 / 1.84 0 1.89 / 1.84 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.75 / 1.60 +0.25 1.75 / 1.60 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.89 / 1.78 0 1.89 / 1.78 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.18
xG 1.20 / 1.40 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.93
Dijon @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.29
Dijon @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.93 vs 2.29
Market price is 15.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.70 9.90
-2.00 8.70 9.30
-1.75 6.40 6.14
-1.50 4.90 4.75
-1.25 4.50 4.30
-1.00 4.05 3.88
-0.75 2.93 2.84
-0.25 2.20 2.09
0 1.89 1.84
+0.25 1.62 1.62
+0.75 1.33 1.31
+1.00 1.18 1.16
+1.25 1.15 1.13
+1.50 1.12 1.11
+1.75 1.06 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.80 6.25
-1.50 5.25 4.65
-1.25 4.65 4.25
-1.00 4.25 3.90
-0.75 3.30 3.00
-0.50 2.60 2.42
-0.25 2.30 2.15
0 1.98 1.82
+0.25 1.68 1.60
+0.50 1.52 1.48
+0.75 1.38 1.32
+1.00 1.24 1.21
+1.25 1.21 1.18
+1.50 1.18 1.16
+1.75 1.12 1.10

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.53 2.39
-0.25 2.21 2.09
0 1.89 1.78
+0.25 1.64 1.57
+0.50 1.49 1.44

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.45 2.92
-0.50 2.77 2.42
-0.25 2.42 2.12
+0.25 1.75 1.60
+0.50 1.60 1.47
+0.75 1.44 1.34

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.40 6.15
-1.50 4.90 4.75
-1.25 4.50 4.30
-1.00 4.05 3.88
-0.75 2.93 2.84
-0.25 2.15 2.09
0 1.89 1.84
+0.25 1.62 1.58
+0.75 1.33 1.31
+1.00 1.18 1.16
+1.25 1.14 1.13
+1.50 1.12 1.11
+1.75 1.06 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.36 4.29
-0.75 3.17 3.13
-0.50 2.60 2.58
-0.25 2.27 2.25
0 1.93 1.91
+0.25 1.66 1.65
+0.50 1.51 1.50
+0.75 1.36 1.35
+1.00 1.22 1.22
Primary Bets
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