Guingamp vs Boulogne Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Guingamp
Final Score
1 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Boulogne
Kick-off 18:45 Stadium Stade de Roudourou

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Guingamp opened at -0.75 against Boulogne in the Ligue 2. Pinnacle's current reference line is -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.36 / 1.24
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
—
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.75 · 3 / 7 books · Weak
Model–Market Gap
—
No valid tradable market line
3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No tradable main line at the time of the decision.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
—
No bookmaker currently offers a valid two-way pricing main.

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.75 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:15
Opening
-0.75
00:15
Last Pre-Match
-0.75
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.75
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.75 1.86 / 5.60 -0.75 1.86 / 5.60 — 0
Betfair DEEP +1.50 1.04 / 1.36 +1.50 1.04 / 1.36 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.53 / 4.03 -0.25 1.53 / 4.03 — 0
Bet365 -0.75 1.98 / 5.90 -0.75 1.98 / 5.90 — 0
1xBet -0.75 1.86 / 5.59 -0.75 1.86 / 5.59 — 0
Unibet +0.50 1.19 / 2.02 +0.50 1.19 / 2.02 — 0
Superbet +0.50 1.18 / 2.05 +0.50 1.18 / 2.05 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main —

AH Home Away
-1.50 2.88 9.30
-1.00 2.27 9.00
-0.75 1.86 5.59
-0.25 1.45 3.75
0 1.26 3.22
+0.25 1.19 2.41
+0.75 1.08 1.80
+1.50 1.02 1.33

Bet365 Main —

AH Home Away
-0.75 1.98 5.90
-0.50 1.72 4.40
-0.25 1.52 3.90
0 1.30 3.45
+0.25 1.24 2.42
+0.50 1.20 2.08
+0.75 1.13 1.82

Betfair Main —

AH Home Away
-1.50 2.88 9.50
+1.50 1.04 1.36

Marathonbet Main —

AH Home Away
-1.00 2.27 9.00
-0.75 1.86 5.60
-0.25 1.46 3.75
0 1.26 3.22
+0.25 1.19 2.42
+0.75 1.08 1.80

Pinnacle Main —

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.53 4.03
0 1.30 3.48
+0.25 1.24 2.53

Superbet Main —

AH Home Away
-1.50 2.90 9.80
-0.50 1.69 4.30
+0.50 1.18 2.05
+1.50 1.03 1.36

Unibet Main —

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.68 4.00
+0.50 1.19 2.02
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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