PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

PEC Zwolle
Oct 18, 2026 - 10:15
1.36 1.49
GO Ahead Eagles
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

PEC Zwolle opened at -0.25 against GO Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
PEC Zwolle -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.37
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.37 AH points more toward GO Ahead Eagles than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
PEC Zwolle -0.25
@ 3.13
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.37
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.53
Price Advantage
+23.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.64 / 1.73 -0.25 2.80 / 1.68 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.98 / 1.79 -0.25 3.13 / 1.74 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.75 / 1.80 -0.25 3.00 / 1.68 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.83 / 1.73 -0.25 3.12 / 1.68 — 0
Betano -0.50 3.20 / 2.07 -0.50 3.15 / 2.00 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.66 / 1.74 -0.25 2.66 / 1.68 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.12
xG 1.36 / 1.49 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
3.13
PEC Zwolle @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.53
PEC Zwolle @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
3.13 vs 2.53
Market price is 23.7% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.00 6.00
-2.00 9.00 5.30
-1.75 8.15 3.90
-1.50 6.30 3.14
-1.25 5.89 2.87
-1.00 5.50 2.56
-0.75 3.92 2.14
-0.25 3.12 1.68
0 2.59 1.53
+0.25 1.99 1.38
+0.75 1.57 1.18
+1.00 1.40 1.08
+1.25 1.32 1.07
+1.50 1.27 1.06
+1.75 1.18 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.60 3.90
-1.50 6.80 3.30
-1.25 6.40 2.85
-1.00 6.00 2.60
-0.75 4.15 2.15
-0.50 3.45 1.92
-0.25 3.00 1.68
0 2.60 1.48
+0.25 2.15 1.38
+0.50 1.88 1.30
+0.75 1.68 1.22
+1.00 1.48 1.12
+1.25 1.40 1.12
+1.50 1.32 1.10
+1.75 1.24 1.11

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.66 1.68
0 2.46 1.46
+0.25 2.02 1.40

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.15 2.00
+0.50 1.85 1.38

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 5.30
-1.75 8.20 3.90
-1.50 6.30 3.14
-1.25 5.90 2.88
-1.00 5.50 2.56
-0.75 3.92 2.14
-0.25 2.80 1.68
0 2.51 1.48
+0.25 1.99 1.35
+0.75 1.57 1.18
+1.00 1.40 1.08
+1.25 1.32 1.07
+1.50 1.27 1.06
+1.75 1.18 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 4.11 2.28
-0.50 3.57 2.00
-0.25 3.13 1.74
0 2.70 1.48
+0.25 2.14 1.37
+0.50 1.85 1.30
+0.75 1.65 1.24
Primary Bets
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