PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

PEC Zwolle
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:30
1.44 1.58
Cambuur
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

PEC Zwolle opened at -0.25 against Cambuur in the Eredivisie. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.13
PEC Zwolle +0.13

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
PEC Zwolle -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.38
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.38 AH points more toward Cambuur than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Cambuur +0.25
@ 3.20
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.38
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.66
Price Advantage
+92.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.60 / 2.97 -0.25 1.60 / 2.97 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.72 / 3.03 -0.25 1.72 / 3.03 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.70 / 2.97 -0.25 1.70 / 2.97 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.70 / 3.20 -0.25 1.70 / 3.20 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.13
xG 1.44 / 1.58 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.72
PEC Zwolle @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.52
PEC Zwolle @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.72 vs 2.52
Market price is 31.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.10 7.40
-1.25 2.86 6.90
-1.00 2.54 6.40
-0.75 2.05 4.32
-0.25 1.70 2.97
0 1.46 2.81
+0.25 1.30 2.21
+0.75 1.14 1.64
+1.00 1.05 1.47
+1.25 1.04 1.38
+1.50 1.03 1.28

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.70 3.20
+0.25 1.37 2.22

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.10 7.40
-1.25 2.80 6.90
-1.00 2.54 6.40
-0.75 2.05 4.33
-0.25 1.60 2.97
0 1.39 2.59
+0.25 1.30 2.09
+0.75 1.14 1.64
+1.00 1.05 1.47
+1.25 1.04 1.35
+1.50 1.03 1.28

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.95 3.41
-0.25 1.72 3.03
0 1.50 2.66
+0.25 1.39 2.16
+0.50 1.32 1.90
Primary Bets
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